| With the acceleration of economic globalization,the proportion of tourism service trade in national service trade has been increasing,and it has become an important part of regional economic cooperation and the development of free trade zones.The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)was officially signed on November 15,2020.This marks the official establishment of the world’s most populous,largest and most potential free trade zone,including China.It is of great significance to deeply study the RCEP agreement and the basic situation of the member states’ tourism service trade,comprehensively grasp the development situation of China’s tourism service trade,and analyze the opportunities,challenges and coping strategies brought by RCEP to the development of China’s tourism service trade.This paper takes China and other RCEP member countries’ tourism service trade as the research object.First,it uses the international market share index,trade competitiveness index,revealed comparative advantage index and trade complementarity index to analyze the development status and gaps between China and other RCEP member countries;Secondly,by interpreting the relevant provisions of RCEP tourism services,it analyzes the level of tourism openness in the region after RCEP takes effect.Finally,it uses the GTAP model to quantitatively describe the economic effects of the three scenarios after the implementation of RCEP on China and other RCEP member countries’ tourism service trade.Through the research,this paper mainly draws the following conclusions: First,the tourism service trade is an important part of the service trade of RCEP member countries,but the competitiveness index and the revealed comparative advantage index of China’s tourism service trade are not outstanding,and it faces severe international competition.Second,RCEP member countries have made commitments on opening up their trade in tourism services that are higher than the current FTA level,and some member countries have achieved full opening,but the convenience of tourism consumer mobility needs to be further improved.Third,the reduction of RCEP tourism service trade barriers is conducive to promoting the balanced development of regional tourism service trade,has a positive impact on China’s macro economy,tourism service trade imports and exports,and tourism output,and The promotion of China’s tourism service trade export is stronger than that of tourism service trade import,which is expected to change China’s tourism service trade deficit.According to the research results,the paper proposes response strategies from two aspects: seizing opportunities and responding to challenges,such as expanding the inbound tourism market of neighboring countries,cultivating competitive multinational tourism enterprises,gradually releasing visa policies for member states,and converting overseas tourism shopping into domestic consumption,converting overseas tourism shopping into domestic consumption,encouraging tourism enterprises to go out and participating in market competition,and promoting the development of tourism in the direction of internationalization. |