Analysis Of Agricultural Trade Intelligence Of "One Belt And One Road" Countries Based On Social Network Analysis

In recent years,after General Secretary Xi Jinping put forward the initiative of jointly building "One Belt And One Road",namely "Silk Road Economic Belt" and"21st Century Maritime Silk Road",China has comprehensively promoted the One Belt And One Road initiative with China's economic development,and sought for the development opportunities of new strategies in the new era.The "One Belt And One Road" initiative has drawn great attention from the international community since its implementation.At the same time,the joint development of the Belt and Road Initiative has not only brought new development opportunities to the countries along the Belt and Road,but also brought tangible development dividends to the international community.In today's society,the progress of economic globalization and accelerated,radiation global agricultural trade,rapid development and expand the scale of development,many in the international trade,including agricultural trade,the situation the vagaries of today's society,the rational use of trade intelligence and can help decision makers avoid trade risks rationally,to recognize the current situation,trade to make the right choice,so,trade information acquisition and analysis,it has become particularly important based on the perspective of trade intelligence,choose social network analysis and other methods,the"neighbourhood" all the way along the route to quantitative analysis of agricultural trade close countries This paper chooses the perspective of social network analysis to carry out social network analysis of countries with close agricultural trade along the"One Belt And One Road" with specific intelligence analysis methods,so as to obtain trade information that is beneficial to the development of China's agricultural trade.The main issues studied in this paper are as follows:The first chapter is the introduction,which mainly discusses the research background,theoretical and practical significance,the research methods adopted in this paper,the content structure including the innovation points of this research,which lays the research foundation for the subsequent chapters and clarifies the logical thinking.The second chapter discusses the relevant theories and literature review.This paper firstly introduces the current situation of "One Belt And One Road" agricultural trade,then summarizes the current situation of trade intelligence,and finally discusses the research status of some product trade networks based on social network analysis method,and carries on the literature review.Third chapter to the Chinese customs import and export data of 2015 and 2015-2019 data import and export trade as the research object,define the scope of "area" agricultural trade,as well as the trade intelligence analysis methods are discussed in this paper,it is concluded that the "area" all the way with China agricultural trade close ten countries,the relationship between the type of database are analyzed in association rules.The fourth and fifth chapters discuss the structural characteristics and change trend of the close trade network of agricultural products along the "One Belt And One Road" during 2015-2019 from two dimensions of export and import respectively,and analyze the typical countries.Chapter six classifies and discusses the countries with close agricultural trade along the routes according to the above analysis results.The seventh chapter is the conclusion,suggestion and prospect of this paper,discusses the current shortcomings of this paper,and prospects the future trade information research.Through the analysis of the data and research,"One Belt And One Road" close countries export agricultural products trade along the network to maintain in the relatively stable state,the overall density increased,but the "area" all the way along the agricultural trade close countries import network density is not stable rise,there is a certain fluctuation,and thus reflects the "area" all the way along the country's export trade between close relation,than import network closely.From import and export of the network mesh density,the overall density of the individual,some degree of centricity and middle centricity perspective,China occupies a leading position,at the core position in the network,and other top countries for analysis of typical countries in the middle of the points,into the degrees to centricity dimensions such as Indonesia,Malaysia,Vietnam and other countries of agricultural trade done well in recent years,occupying the more and more important status in the network,but also have a national performance worthy of in-depth study,and has carried on the analysis of typical countries,at the same time this paper according to the results of model analysis,In combination with the changes in the characteristics of agricultural trade network in the past five years and the actual situation,these countries with close agricultural trade with China are divided into three categories:"close trade","trade potential" and "trade to be developed".In the development process of "One Belt And One Road" initiative,China's agricultural trade should be combined with trade information to meet greater challenges.