| In 2020,the scale of China’s floating population has reached 375 million.With the improvement of urban transportation networks,the development of intercity transportation hubs,and the increasing accessibility of cities at all levels,the scale of urban-rural and urban-urban floating population will increase.expand further.With the expansion of the floating population,the related problems brought about by the floating population have become increasingly prominent,such as the residence of the floating population in the place of inflow,social integration,employment,childbearing,children’s education,and long-term care in other places.The rapid economic development has further increased the demand for high-quality population in various regions.How to attract and retain high-quality human resources is a problem that all regions must face.The new first-tier cities have good location advantages and economic foundations,and there are sufficient jobs,which attract a large number of high-quality population inflows.The inflow of high-quality population is not only conducive to the development of the new first-tier cities themselves,but also conducive to the development of the economic belts of the new first-tier cities.The role of economies of scale and drive the coordinated development of various regions.For a developing city,it is necessary not only to introduce new high-quality population,but also to retain these population through various policies and measures,so as to provide long-term and stable high-quality human resources for the development and construction of the city.The level of education reflects the cultural quality of the population,which is an important indicator to measure the quality of the population.Since the level of education is easy to quantify and compare,this paper uses the level of education as the evaluation standard,and high education as the division of high-quality inflowing population.It is a way to analyze the willingness of the high-quality inflowing population covered under this classification to reside in the new first-tier cities.According to the data combing and analysis of the "2018 National Floating Population Dynamic Monitoring Survey" released by the National Health and Health Commission,91.0% of the highly educated population flowing into my country’s new first-tier cities have the willingness to live,which is the same as the total highly educated population flowing into all cities.The ratio of willingness to stay is the same.Why is the willingness to stay in the new first-tier cities with a good momentum of overall urban economic development and high attractiveness only reaching the average level of all cities? This is a question worthy of consideration and discussion.This paper classifies the highly educated inflow population of the new first-tier cities according to different characteristic standards,analyzes the differences in their willingness to stay in different classification methods,and the differences in willingness to stay with other educated populations,and discusses them through descriptive statistical analysis and empirical analysis.Various factors that affect their willingness to live,in order to provide countermeasures for the first-tier cities to better attract and retain high-quality population.According to demographic characteristics,socio-economic characteristics,and mobility characteristics,analyze the characteristics of the willingness to stay under the corresponding classification methods,and compare the willingness to stay of the population who flowed into the first-tier cities for different reasons.into the incoming population.The inflow population of first-tier cities is divided according to the length of migration.The inflow population with a longer inflow time is more willing to stay than the inflow population with a migration duration of 5 years or less.The willingness to stay decreases with the increase of the working hours per week,and increases with the increase of the income-expenditure ratio.According to the analysis of the residence intention of the inflowing population according to the different income levels,the highly educated inflow population in the new first-tier cities generally shows the characteristic that the residence intention increases with the increase of income level.Among the inflow population in first-tier cities,those who have established health records are more willing to live than those who have not established health records.Under the classification of whether to participate in various types of insurance,the inflow population does not have a clear change in the willingness to stay,which is related to the fact that different types of insurance cover different groups of people.Under different demographic characteristics,the willingness to stay of the highly educated inflow population is significantly different.The residence willingness of the male inflow population is lower than that of the female population,and the residence willingness of the unmarried and divorced inflow population is significantly lower than that of the married inflow population with a spouse.The age is 24 years old The youngest inflow population below has the lowest willingness to stay in each age group,and the larger the family size,the higher the willingness to stay.Using Stata software to build a rare event logistic regression model to analyze the factors that affect the willingness to stay of the highly educated inflow population in the first-tier cities,the results show that the residence willingness of the highly educated inflow population with a migration duration of 6-9 years is significantly higher than that at the level of 10% significance Population with shorter duration of mobility.In the category of employment status,the residency willingness of highly educated inflows with regular employers is significantly higher than that of employees without regular employers and other employment statuses.The establishment of health records can significantly improve the willingness to live.Increases in average monthly housing expenditures significantly increased residency intentions.In terms of social security insurance,having new rural cooperative medical care or urban employee medical insurance can significantly improve the willingness to stay of the highly educated inflow population in new first-tier cities.Among the demographic characteristics,the willingness to stay of the healthy inflow population with high education is significantly higher than that of the unhealthy inflow population with high education,and the expansion of family size significantly increases the willingness to stay.The analysis of heterogeneity by sex led to the following conclusions.The variable of migration duration of more than 10 years has a significant increase in the willingness of residence of male highly educated inflows,and participation in the new rural cooperative medical insurance and urban employee medical insurance can significantly increase the residence willingness of male highly educated inflows.The residency willingness of male highly educated inflow population with agricultural household registration is significantly lower than that of non-agricultural household registration inflow male population with high education.Men’s willingness to stay is significantly influenced by their own health status.For women,the variable employment status significantly reduces the residency intention of women with high education inflows.The increase in family size has significantly increased the willingness of female inflows with high education to stay.Whether or not to participate in urban residents’ medical insurance will also significantly affect the residence willingness of female inflows with high education.Based on the above conclusions,this paper puts forward the following suggestions: First,improve the policy of family relocation of highly educated inflows,and ensure the right of children of highly educated inflows to school education.Second,promote the social security system to better benefit the inflow of highly educated people,and strengthen the construction of medical and health care.Third,reduce the living cost of the highly educated inflow population and improve the living environment of the highly educated inflow population.Fourth,give full play to the location advantages of the new first-tier cities to promote employment and increase income. |
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