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Discrete Event Simulation in the Preliminary Estimation Phase of Mega Projects: A Case Study of the Central Waterfront Revitalization Project

Posted on:2011-12-06Degree:M.A.ScType:Thesis
University:University of Toronto (Canada)Candidate:Nahrvar, ShayanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2448390002460724Subject:Engineering
Abstract/Summary:
The methodology of discrete-event simulation provides a promising alternative to solving complicated construction systems. Given the level of uncertainty that exists in the early estimation phase of mega-projects regarding cost and risk, project simulations have become a central part of decision-making and planning. In this paper, an attempt is made to compare the output generated by a model constructed under the Monte Carlo framework with that of Discrete-Event Simulation to determine the similarities and difference between the two methods. To achieve this, the Simphony modeling (DES) environment is used. The result is then compared to a Monte Carlo simulation conducted by Golder Associates.
Keywords/Search Tags:Simulation
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