The Status Quo And Prediction Research Of Bed Resource Allocation In Medical Institutions In Linzhi City

Background:Since the 18thCongress of the Communist Party of China National Congress,health development planning has become the basic means of government in the health field.All provinces and cities in China are actively engaged in regional health planning.As a national security barrier,ecological security barrier and a major channel leading to South Asia,Tibet's development has been attached great importance.In order to achieve the goal of entering the well-off society with the whole country in 2020,Autonomous region will form new development ideas in various fields in Tibet.In the field of health,it is extremely important to understand the reality of Tibetan health development and make a reasonable allocation of bed resources.Objective and content:By analyzing the economic and social development of Nyingchi,the supply of bed resources and the demand of residents' health service in medical institutions,to summarize the factors influencing the prediction of bed resources in Nyingchi.In order to forecast the bed resources of Nyingchi in 2020,and to provide reference for the equipment of Nyingchi,this study compared the commonly used methods of bed resource prediction in medical institutions,and we choose the most suitable method for the prediction of bed resources in medical institutions of Nyingchi.At the same time,in the appropriate allocation of resources on the basis of bedresources,and then equipped with other resources to meet the needs of residents of medical services,It is of great significance to promote the health of residents and improve the service efficiency of medical institutions.Methods:This study mainly adopts the methods of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.Through the qualitative analysis,thispaper analyzes the factors influencing bed resource prediction by analyzing the economic social development,the supply and demand of bed resources ofNyingchi.The quantitative analysis was used to compare and apply the common methods of health resource allocation,so as to select the most suitable method for the prediction of bed resources in Nyingchi,and to predict the resource ofNyingchi.Results:This studymainly includes the current situation of economic and social development in Nyingchi;the current situation of the supply of beds resources in medical institutions,the health service demand of residents,and the prediction of the allocation of resources in Nyingchi medical institutions in 2020.(1)In the terms of economic and social developmentin Nyingchi,the economic level has been greatly developed,the expenditure on health care has increased rapidly.The proportion of Tibetans in the population becomes larger.The average annual growth rate of the population is 1.42%,and the tourism population increased year by year.In addition,Nyingchi is at a high altitude and some countries are in the border areas.This series of factors affect the health of the residents and thus have an impact on the demand and utilization ofhealth services.(2)From the supply of bed resources in medical institutions,Bed resource structure did not fully consider the specificity of the region,also fully reflect the characteristics of advantages.The supply of bed resources increased year by year in Nyingchi.In 2014,the number of beds Per thousand population in the medical institutions was 4.37,which was higher than the average level of the Tibet,but slightly lower than the national average.There are large differences in the distribution of bed resources in medical institutions,and the proportion of urban medical institutions is large,accounting for 61%of the total beds,and the proportion of beds in rural medical institutions is 39%.The distribution of bed resources in medical institutions is not balanced,bed resources are mainly concentrated in the municipal level;The number of hospital beds is less in Tibetan hospital;Also,medical institutions are not availableto private medical institutions.In different types of hospitals,the proportion of beds in the general hospital is the largest,accounting for 57.62%of the total number of beds.(3)According to the needand demand of the residents for the medical institutions bed resources,the two-week prevalence of absence rate and none-hospitalization rate of urban and rural residents in Nyingchi is slightly lower than the national level,but the trend is increasing year after year.Economic difficulties continue to be the leading cause of high attendance and noninvestment rates.Economic hardship is the primary reason for the lack of medical treatment.(4)Thisstudy analyzes the supplyment and demandment of bed resources in medical institutions That is in balance.(5)The forecast results show that the human population ratio method is the most suitable for the prediction of bed resources in Nyingchi,and to forecast the number of bed in the year of 2020 in Nyingchi about 1274.After 2014,the city began to develop the private clinics.Referring to the "national health service system planning outline" provisions of the social management of medical institutions bed resource allocation standards,the number of beds of the private clinics is 150.And the City of Nyingchi will become the region's convalescent center,so the total number of beds is predicted as about 1500.The proporation of Tibetan beds has been improved.Bed resource allocation should focus on the county of bomeand gongbogyamda where traffic is developed and population is crowded together.Conclusion:The prediction of bed resources in Nyingchishould bebased on the current situation of resource supply and the demand for health services.At the same time,we should take full account of its special factors,so that the allocation of medical resources has focused on its characteristics.