Dynamic Factor Analysis And System Simulation Study Of The Carbon Fiber Industry Development In Jiangsu Province

As the king of the new material in twenty-first Century, carbon fiber composite products have become an indispensable strategic new material in the national economy and national defense construction. And carbon fiber has broad market prospects.Carbon fiber industry in Jiangsu province has experienced nearly ten years on independent research and development, which represents the high level of the development, production and application of carbon fiber composites in China. However,the development has been to the node of industrial revolution, and policy adjustment. The internal and external factors that affect the development of industry are not yet clear and the strategic combination of carbon fiber industry development of Jiangsu province has not been put forward. Through theoretical analysis and simulation study, the following conclusions are concluded:The world’s carbon fiber industry has a long monopoly situation, andt the investment scale of carbon fiber industry in Jiangsu Province and the scale of production and employment are increasing.The scale economy of the industry has been strengthened, and the overall sales profit level has been improved. But industry development is facing the difficulties, such as the technology research and development, capital use efficiency, market cultivation and other aspects of the problem.The market demand, government policy, technological innovation, resource advantage, and other elements of carbon fiber industry development in Jiangsu provinceare coupled and acted together.From the external power of the carbon fiber industry development in Jiangsu Province, in order to increase the efficiency of carbon fiber industry, ensure the positive stimulus industry is greater than the positive stimulus. From the internal power of the carbon fiber industry development in Jiangsu Province, enterprises should start from the market demand. Through technological innovation, they can increase product competitiveness.The model of grey sensitivity coefficient objective weight maximum entropy distribution(G-ME model) is used to search the industry dynamic factors. The market orders, business capacity, the number of patents and other factors have great effects on the development of carbon fiber industry in Jiangsu province. Secondly, the weight of the main dynamic factors is calculated by the maximum entropy constraint, and the strategy design of industrial development is put forward from the aspects of market cultivation, financial support, technological breakthrough and talent incentive.System dynamics simulation model and test of the carbon fiber industry development in Jiangsu province. The results showed that the improvement of the technology from patent applications number,the advantages of industrial resources, the ability of R&D team, the degree of internal coordination development are more sensitive to the development of carbon fiber industry in Jiangsu province.Secondly, based on the fourth chapter, the combination strategy is more significant in the development level of carbon fiber industry in Jiangsu province, compared with the combination of the equal weight and other reference, which verifies the validity of the G-ME model.