Research On The Characteristic And Scale Of Passenger Flow In The BRT Under The TOD Mode

In recent years, as the acceleration of urbanization, the traffic problem is more and moreserious, the land development strategies of the city needs a new model—Transit orienteddevelopment； Giving priority to the development of the city public traffic can improve thetraffic resource utilization efficiency, alleviate traffic jam with the important means. Theinvestment of Bus rapid transit is low, the construction period of Bus rapid transit is short, theflexibility of Bus rapid transit is high. So it can be one of the city's favors. The passengerflow forecast of Bus rapid transit can be used as the basis for the development of BRT, BRTdesign provides a foundation for the passenger flow.This paper first studies the concept and classification of TOD development model. Onthis basis, this paper studies to determine the content. Using the life cycle theory, studies theinfluence factors of the development model TOD, thus divides TOD mode for three phases,and studies the characteristics of each stage;Second, the study of domestic and foreign relevant material, defines BRT system, studies BRT basicelements, analysis the advantages of BRT, studies the BRT system classification configuration; Through toclassify each element of the configuration, studies to coordinate TOD development stages and BRTconfiguration phase; Analyse the influence factors of the BRT system passenger flow and thecharacteristics of the passenger flow. Through to analyse the BRT elements of the passenger flow attract,studies the configuration of the passenger of the BRT classification, analyzes on the forecast method;Again, through the research of the system dynamics theory knowledge, using the system dynamicsmethod, qualitative analysis and quantitative research, and analyse the combination of BRT system andpopulation with the relationship between the passenger flows. Establishes the dynamic model of BRTsystem flow prediction system;Finally, uses BRT one number line of Changzhou as an example for analysis, accordingto the historical data of Changzhou calibrates the parameters of the model, and simulates thedifferent configuration under the policy, analyzes different policy flow prediction, andprovides the policy suggestion for BRT1number lines to Changzhou certain constructiondevelopment.