Research On Demand Prediction Of Geological Talents And Strategic Planning In China

With the increasingly serious situation of resources and environmental issues, more and more national and social concern is attached to geological work. The key point of the development and revitalization of geological work lies in talents. By now, there are some problems in China's geological talents personnel, which will negatively impact the quality and efficiency of geological work, thereby, affecting effective solution of our resources and environmental problems.On the basis of previous results, the paper acquired the following achievements by modern predication theories and talents strategic theories, with the help of related data and practical research.1. The paper analyzed the scale and the structure situation of China's geological talents systematically, and pointed out some existing problems of China's geological talents, including the insufficiency of talents in first line, with high education, compound fields, international background, innovation consciousness, and unreasonable talents system.2. The paper analyzed systematically the factors that affected the total demand on geological talents, proposed the frame model of demand mechanism of geological talents, explained the potential demands and effective demands on geological talents and its determinants, predicted the demand scales on geological talents in 2015, 2020, in 2030 by artificial neural network model and the gray models, which solidified the foundation of making up the development strategy on geological talents.3. The paper made a compound analysis on the general structure– hard structure, and qualification structure– soft structure of geological talents, with the combination of associated survey and future environmental changes, which provided the foundation to promote the structure optimization of geological talents and enhance the core competencies.4. On the basis of above-mentioned studies, the paper put forward the strategic blueprint of geological talents in China, including the strategic guiding ideology, strategic objectives and strategic measures.The innovative achievements included: (1) the prediction of the demand scales on geological talents by artificial neural network model and the gray models; (2) the proposal of "5Q" model on geological talents and the construction of qualification models on mine managers, engineers and geologists; (3) The proposal of the strategic blueprint of geological talents in China, including the strategic guiding ideology, strategic objectives and strategic measures...