| In recent years,the proportion of knowledge-based trade represented by information and communication technology(ICT)services in service trade has been increasing.During the COVID-19 pandemic,the total import and export volume of traditional services trade,represented by tourism services,has decreased significantly,while the import and export volume of ICT services trade has increased rather than decreased.Firstly analyzed the development status of ICT service trade in China from two aspects of scale analysis and structure analysis.Scale analysis including China’s overall balance analysis,import and export scale,ICT services accounted for the entire service trade of China than analysis and analysis of a share of GDP,from the above aspects we compare China and the world’s major economies,and found that ICT service trade,though China starts relatively late,but development is rapid,and in 2018 into the accelerated development;With the analysis of China’s ICT service trade structure,it is concluded that its development is unbalanced.Then,selected 10 countries including the United States,India,Japan,Germany and the United Kingdom,and measures three indicators of ICT service trade: market share Index(TC),trade Competition Index(MS)and explicit comparative advantage(SRCA).The international competitiveness level,characteristics,development trend and differences between China and other countries of ICT service trade are analyzed and compared.Secondly,based on the diamond model,this paper selects 10 factors that affect the competitiveness of ICT service trade and divides them into domestic and foreign aspects.8 domestic factors(represented by per capita GDP);2 foreign factors(represented by actual utilized foreign capital).Through the establishment of VEC model,the export volume of ICT service trade,per capita GDP and actual utilization of foreign capital are autoregressive.It is found that domestic factors have a significant impact on the international competitiveness of China’s ICT service trade.Then,this paper further conducts factor analysis on 8 domestic influencing factors,extracts all the main factors and establishes a regression model.It is found that the ICT industrial foundation is the most important factor affecting the competitiveness of ICT service trade,followed by the per capita consumption level of residents.Human resources have a slight negative effect on ICT service trade,and the reasons are analyzed.Finally,based on the empirical results,some policy suggestions are put forward. |
