| In September 2020,the President Xi Jinping proposed at the UN General Assembly that "China will improve the strength of its national autonomous contributions and adopt more robust policies and measures.Carbon dioxide emission is expected to peak by2030 in an effort to achieve carbon neutralization 2060 years ago ".This fully demonstrates China’s responsibility and responsibility to actively participate in international environmental governance and make greater contributions to global climate change.The proposal of carbon peak and carbon neutral vision goals has defined a new direction for the low-carbon development of China’s manufacturing industry,and put forward new requirements for accelerating the carbon emission reduction of manufacturing industry.Achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality is the internal requirement to promote energy conservation and emission reduction of China’s economy and improve the resources,energy and environmental issues.It is an important measure to force China’s industry to change its development mode and carry out green and low-carbon transformation.It is a broad and profound economic and social systemic change,and is of great significance to achieve green recovery and highquality development of China’s economy in the post-epidemic era.Based on the manufacturing industry data of 30 provinces in China from 2006 to2018,this paper decomposes the total effect of manufacturing intelligence on carbon emissions into scale effect and technology effect,trying to study the impact of manufacturing intelligence transformation on China’s industrial carbon emissions and its mechanism.First of all,this paper reviews the literature from three aspects: research on the economic and social effects of manufacturing intelligence,research on the influencing factors of industrial carbon emissions,research on the impact of manufacturing intelligence on industrial carbon emissions,and decomposes the total effect of manufacturing intelligence on industrial carbon emissions reduction into scale effect and technology effect.Secondly,this paper uses the methods of Acemoglu &Restrepo(2020)and Wang Yongqin(2020)to construct a series of empirical analysis of robot penetration index at the province-industry level in China,including benchmark test,endogenous test,robustness test and intermediate mechanism test.Finally,this paper focuses on the impact of manufacturing intelligence on the heterogeneity of industrial carbon emission intensity.It studies the industry heterogeneity by grouping based on the difference of industry technology level and industry carbon emission intensity level,and analyzes the regional heterogeneity of the impact of manufacturing intelligence on industrial carbon emission intensity by grouping based on the east,middle and west.The empirical results show that manufacturing intelligence has a certain inhibitory effect on China’s industrial carbon emissions.For every 1% increase in manufacturing intelligence,China’s total industrial carbon emissions will decrease by 0.418%,and China’s industrial carbon emissions intensity will decrease by 0.084%.And this effect has significant differences in different industries and different regions.From the perspective of subregion,the carbon emission reduction effect of manufacturing intelligence in the central and western regions is significantly higher than that in the eastern region.From the perspective of sub-industries,the carbon emission reduction effect of manufacturing intelligence in industries with medium technological level is significantly higher than that of industries with low technological level and industries with high technological level.At the same time,the carbon emission reduction effect of manufacturing intelligence in industries with high carbon emission intensity is significantly higher than that of industries with low carbon emission intensity.From the perspective of impact mechanism,manufacturing intelligence can restrain China’s industrial carbon emission intensity by improving industrial agglomeration and promoting enterprise innovation.Therefore,under the background of promoting highquality economic development,this paper makes a contribution to how to make the intelligent transformation and upgrading of China’s manufacturing industry better serve the "double carbon" target according to the industry and regional characteristics. |