Study Research On The Influence Of Agricultural Technological Progress On Agricultural Carbon Emission In Xinjiang

With the rapid development of my country’s economy,the level of science and technology is constantly improving.As an important pillar industry in my country,agriculture not only undertakes to solve the problem of food and clothing for 1.3 billion people,but also bears the ecological value of protecting the rural environment.Agricultural technological progress is not only closely related to the agricultural economy,but also related to agricultural greenhouse gas emissions.Xinjiang is an important agricultural province in my country,with harsh climatic conditions,shortage of water resources,and fragile ecological environment.The growth of the agricultural economy mainly comes from planting and animal husbandry.The large amount of greenhouse gases brought by the production process will seriously affect the climate and environment of Xinjiang.And ecological security.This study uses literature research methods,descriptive statistical analysis methods,and empirical analysis methods,based on the perspective of large-scale agriculture,and based on the current status of Xinjiang agricultural production and technical level,to rationally construct a Xinjiang agricultural carbon emission measurement system,and study Xinjiang agricultural carbon emissions from 2000 to 2018 Changes in the total amount,and constructing a dynamic panel data model to empirically analyze the impact of agricultural technological progress on the total amount of agricultural carbon emissions.On the one hand,it is conducive to enriching Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions related research,on the other hand,it is conducive to promoting the sustainable development of Xinjiang’s low-carbon agriculture and the construction of the ecological environment.Through the research,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)Xinjiang’s agricultural development still mainly depends on agricultural resources such as diesel oil,pesticides,agricultural fertilizers and films,and total power of agricultural machinery.The planting industry is dominated by food crops such as wheat and corn.The development of Xinjiang’s animal husbandry is also Will lead to an increase in greenhouse gas emissions.With the rapid development of Xinjiang’s agricultural economy,the level of agricultural mechanization continues to improve,the model of efficient water-saving irrigation technology for farmland is continuously optimized,and the agricultural waste treatment technology is continuously scientific.(2)From 2000 to 2018,Xinjiang’s total agricultural carbon emissions showed a trend of first rising and then falling,but the magnitude of the change was small.From the perspective of the dynamic changes in the carbon emission structure,Xinjiang’s total agricultural carbon emissions are mainly composed of greenhouse gases emitted by livestock breeding and crop straw burning.Among them,the manure management and intestinal fermentation of ruminants such as cattle,sheep and pigs The largest carbon emissions are coming.From the perspective of changes in carbon emission intensity and density,Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions as a whole belong to the “low intensity-high density” type,and agricultural production efficiency has increased.Xinjiang’s agricultural carbon emissions from 2000 to 2018 The total amount of carbon emissions is high and the decline is slow.(3)The contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress measured by the Solow residual value method is used as an indicator to measure the level of agricultural technology in Xinjiang,and control variables such as the level of urbanization,fiscal capacity and financial strength are selected,and the empirical analysis is carried out by constructing a dynamic panel data model,The results show that under the condition of controlling other variables unchanged,there is a significant negative correlation between agricultural technological progress and total agricultural carbon emissions,that is,with the continuous improvement of agricultural technology,agricultural carbon emissions gradually decrease.Other factors such as fiscal capacity,financial strength,and urbanization will also affect agricultural carbon emissions to a certain extent.(4)Combined with the dynamic changes in the total,structure,intensity and density of Xinjiang agricultural carbon emissions from 2000 to 2018,as well as the impact of technological progress on carbon emissions,it is proposed to adjust the input methods of agricultural resources to increase the effective utilization of resources;Investment in agricultural science and technology to improve the level of agricultural technology;Optimize the agricultural industry structure and give play to agricultural ecological benefits;increase the promotion of low-carbon agriculture,enhance farmers’ low-carbon awareness and other policy recommendations to promote carbon emission reduction and the development of low-carbon agriculture in Xinjiang’s agriculture Make a certain contribution.