A Study On Coupled Linkage Between Export Trade Structure And Industrial Structure In Shanghai Province

Since the 1950 s,With the advantage of good location and excellent human resources,Shanghai became an outstanding international trade center of our country for more than one hundred years.Based on the interactive relationship between Shanghai export trade structure and industrial structure,this article focuses on the establishment of Shanghai International Trade Center,and attempts to solve two problems: one is why change the structure of Shanghai's export trade can adjust its industrial structure;And the other is to find factors for the adjustment of export trade structure and industrial structure.In response to the above two questions,the main analysis line of this article is "discovering problems-analyzing problems-solving problems".Firstly,the theoretical interaction between export trade structure and industrial structure is described respectively(discovering problems);Secondly,the current development of the two is explained(discovering problems);Again,this paper uses three models to analyze the interaction between each other.Model one,uses the VAR model to discuss the representation of the two is a long-term association.Model two,uses the export endogenous economic growth model to analyze the influence path of the specific commodity trade structure on the industrial structure;Model three,uses the gray relation model to demonstrate the relation of the specific industrial structure to the trade structure(analyzing problems)and forecasts the index of export trade structure by 2020;Again,through the theoretical description,the present analysis and the conclusion of the empirical examination,the interaction effect between the structure of the export trade goods of Shanghai is concluded: Resource-intensive products are a pushing force on the first industry;The labor-intensive product promotes the secondary industry;Resource-intensive products help the third industry;The link between the three industries and the export trade goods structure is ranked from the high to the low : first industry,secondary industry and tertiary industry(analyzing problems).Finally,the corresponding suggestions are given(solving problems).