Research On The Effect Of Urbanization On The Spillover Effect Of Labor Market

According to the theory of the labor market and the two yuan Lewis model theory,starting from the nonlinear theory of real wages and labor supply and demand,break the labor homogeneity in the Lewis model hypothesis,and that differences in education and training of human capital,the real wage level will bring changes in the labor supply and demand.The wage level of labor force is closely related to the development level of urbanization,and the change of wage level has brought about the nonlinear change of labor supply and demand.Therefore,considering the difference of wage level,based on the provincial panel data of 1998~2015 in different provinces and cities in China,the panel threshold model is used to examine the nonlinear relationship between urbanization and labor market in detail.First,the paper analyzes the related theories of urbanization and labor market.First of all,the article introduces the basic concepts and theoretical basis.Secondly,the article analyzes the theory of labor market and the theory of Lewis' s two yuan economic structure model.The results showed that the first stage of the development of China's provinces and cities in the economy is the unlimited supply of labor stage,the wage level has little effect on labor supply;the development of China's provinces and cities in the economy in the second phase,the labor supply changes with the level of wages,when the wage level reaches a certain height,the labor supply curve bend back labor supply decreases.At the same time,the break in the Lewis model assumes that labor homogeneity,given the new concepts and assumptions.Finally,the spillover effects of urbanization on the labor market are analyzed.Macroscopically,urbanization has an economic spillover effect,a cultural spillover effect,a brand spillover effect,a management and service spillover effect,an ecological and environmental spillover effect on the labor market.On the micro level,urbanization has agglomeration effect.The development of urbanization has gathered labor,education,human capital,information,technology and other factors,which has affected the supply and demand structure of labor force in the labor market.Second,the article analyzes the current situation of population aging,labor force,urbanization and labor market,focusing on the comparative analysis of the labor market situation before and after the aging of population.The preliminary results showed that in recent years,the population of China's provinces and cities in the labor share showed a downward trend,the deepening of the aging population to reduce labor supply,reducethe flexibility of the labour market,breaking the labor force employment structure and industrial structure to match the situation.Third,the empirical analysis of the effect of urbanization on the spillover effect of the labor market is carried out.According to threshold variable real wage level,we can divide area variable urbanization level into three District systems,namely district system I,district system II and district system III.The results show that the urbanization and labor market due to differences in wage levels showed a significant effect of interval,system optimization equilibrium of district urbanization is not conducive to the labor market system in the urbanization area;the estimated coefficient on the labor market is in a certain range,the wage level,urbanization is conducive to optimizing the labor market;section III urbanization estimated coefficient on the labor market is significantly negative,indicating that when the wage levels across the second threshold,improve the level of urban development,but not conducive to optimizing the structure of the labor market.According to the robustness test of the model,it is found that the model estimation results are similar,and the model is more stable and reliable.At the same time,the article analyses the regional difference of the spillover effects of urbanization on the labor market.Fourth,conclusions and policy recommendations.Based on the theoretical and empirical research,according to our current reality,this paper gives some policy recommendations for optimizing the labor market and optimizing the upgrading of the industrial structure and sustainable development of our economy.