SY Coal Transportation And Marketing Company Investment Project Risk Assessment Research

At present,the resource demand continues to rise in the world economic development,coal prices also showed a rising trend,the coal resources in the domestic investment mode is also changing,the situation of coal resources investment in the development of a new climax is gradually formed,and the coal enterprise investors' decision there is an urgent need for a series of correct effective investment risk evaluation theory to guide.Many domestic and foreign scholars have done a lot of work in this area,the research of coal investment projects has been used before is a deterministic method,when the changes of the value,the number can only reflect the changes in the analysis of the corresponding no effect generated by the project,so the project risk cannot be reflected in the overall project risk,in which a determined value when the reliability also cannot be analyzed in variation.In order to better meet the needs of investors,the system were reviewed based on the risk investment research status at home and abroad,introduced the related concepts and basic theory of risk investment,carried out the specific application of the system of coal enterprise investment risk assessment and evaluation system on the basis of the theory,this system is the establishment of coal enterprise project investment has the unique.This paper analyzes the status quo of SY coal enterprise project investment risk investment,focuses on analyzing the main problems of its investment,and constructs an index system of investment project risk assessment,takes the net present value as a selection index,and then constructs a coal enterprise's investment risk evaluation model.The AHP method is used to make an empirical analysis.Through the establishment of a risk assessment model suitable for coal enterprises,data analysis is carried out to obtain sensitive risk factors.Monte Carlo simulation,the scope of the operational risk variables,the final analysis of the project feasibility assessment and project profit control interval.The results of this paper are consistent with the actual sales management data of the project.The reliability of the design of the risk assessment system has also been further verified,providing more explicit and objective reference for the investment projects of coal enterprises.