Risk Analysis Of Investment In Project Based On CIM-AHP

The risk of the investment on the project has been the concern of investors at home and abroad. Scholars domestic and abroad who have done a lot of research in this domain have made some significant theoretical results. Through the application of these theoretical results to the actual investment risk management,the manager of the project improved the skills in the project management.This paper makes comprehensive analysis of achievement on the investment risks of project domestic and abroad,combined with the present situation of the risk analysis of project in our country,it also gives evaluation criteria on the risk of the project,which laid the foundation of risk assessment system. In this study,the paper makes comprehensive comparative analysis on the risk assessment model which is widely used,and then it analyze the features and compatibility between the CIM Model and AHP method,aiming to combining them to be applied to the risk evaluation of the project investment.It not only makes use of the features of the CIM model,but also solve the problem that different risk factor have different influence in the risk analysis. It shows that the joined model played well in the risk analysis of the project. Finally,the effect of the CIM-AHP model was well illustrated by a project which is a port project. In this case,through the analysis of the investment risk of the project,we identify each investment risk factor of the project,combined with the risk evaluation index system established in this paper,we makes use of CIM-AHP model to analyse the risk factors of the project,and get a good result in this risk analysis.So it can help the manager of this project do good decision on the choice of the plan.