Research On Project Risk Management Of Water Supply Unit Construction In The South-north Water Diversion Project In Yantai Area

According to the "master planning of water resources in yantai", yantai is very outstanding, the imbalance between supply and demand of water resources has become the bottleneck of restricting local national economic and social development. In order to solve the serious shortage of water resources in the district of yantai city situation, the implementation of inter-basin water transfer is the fundamental measures to solve the problem of water shortage in yantai. For this project, because of the large investment, long construction time, many unknown factors, from the initial project investment evaluation to use the completion of the project, involving a large number of personnel to participate in, there is need to coordinate the various relations, by a large number of uncontrollable factors. How to identify risk, estimate risk, control risk, it is very important in the project. Therefore, through this topic in the theoretical research and analysis of engineering projects, can not only in theory for the risk management of the project is carried out, but also for the future of our country investment construction activities to provide theoretical support and experience.Based on the evaluation of risk identification, risk estimate, risk control, to form a complete set of the south-north water diversion project in yantai city water supply unit quantitative and scientific analysis, the risk of construction project risk management in the project for the whole process of strict and reasonable-control.In the risk identification of the fault tree method, expert investigation method, the main risk identification and analysis; In risk estimation and evaluation, the integrated use of analytic hierarchy process (ahp) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method of comprehensive estimation method, risk fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is set up, and determine its membership matrix, further establish the south-north water diversion water supply unit in the district of yantai city engineering project risk evaluation index system, the project safety risk weight to calculate, finally estimate the project risk value; Finally, before the analysis may appear in the the project risk control measures is analyzed for possible economic risk, environment risk and social risk are analyzed and put forward the corresponding control countermeasures.Strengthening risk management, whether water supply unit in the district of yantai city project of south-to-north water transfer project construction management unit, or for the whole economy and society, has extremely important significance.First of all, the risk management to the construction of the project construction to provide a safe, operating environment, can make decision-making more scientific and reasonable management group, prompt projects to increase economic efficiency, complete the goal; Second, risk management, make resource allocation more reasonable, as far as possible to reduce risk loss and bad consequences, to avoid unnecessary risk harm; The last and most important, the risk management for the normal operation of the whole economic, social and development play a significant role in stability.So the comprehensive research of this article can be found, be sure to be throughout the whole process of project risk management, for risk identification, carefully build a model to quantify the risk assessment, determine the risk factors and weights, put forward the corresponding layer of risk control measures, to ensure that the risk of loss rate is lowest, construction project to complete and maintain the good economic benefits.