The Research On Multiplier And Path Analysis Based On Chinese Rural Residents Consumptive Sam

Since China has opened up to the outside world, Chinese economy has obtained an unbelievable achievement. However, as an agricultural country, the rural economics of China are still in a state of disadvantage and it has restricted further development of economy of the whole society. Lacking of impetus to rural market has been an important factor that restricts the development of national economy. To solve the existed problems and difficulties, such as slow increase of income, disequilibrium of consumptive ability of rural residents, lacking of new consumptive hotspots and so on, it should be considered from different views such as the overall development of national economy, a whole plan of city and country etc.. At last, a long-term stratagem should come into exist to improve the consumptive level of rural residents gradually and exploit further the rural market.Different from the popular method based on the local equilibrium theory, the study will do research on the consumptive issue of rural residents with the methods of the social accounting matrix technology, multiplier theory and path analysis based on the general equilibrium theory. The study tries to find out the relationship between consumptive behavior of rural residents and how to accelerate the development of rural economics. The conclusions suggest that the relationship between various departments that make up of rural economics is consanguineous and economic accounts develop with equilibrium correspondingly. However, the whole consumptive market of rural area is lack of energy and the inhabitant's consumptive consciousness is not strong enough; Adding capital inflow to Clothing and Residence industries will greatly improve employ ratio of rural work force; Though the Household Facilities, Articles and Services Industry plays an important part in improving rural residents'incomes, its industrial driving character should be cultivated.SAM technology is based on the general equilibrium theory. As a result, it makes the analysis on economy more comprehensive. Based on Chinese Rural Residents Consumptive SAM, the study makes use of multiplier path and analysis to do research on intersectional influence between different industries, factors and income groups. What's more, the appliance of SAM into multiplier and path analysis will expand the study scope and content of SAM and it's a very constructive experiment to combine the SAM technology with industry economics.