Study Of The Logistics Network Of Electronic Products Based On L-OD Forecast

With the rapid development and application of Internet technology, the sharp rise in demand for electronic products, which led to the rapid development of electronic products manufacturing, computer (Computer), communication (Communication) and consumer electronics (Consumer-Electronics) (called 3C) as the representative of the short life cycle products in recent years as bamboo shoots after a spring rain. Vigorous development, has reached an unprecedented user holding rate. Relevant data show that China is a global consumer electronics manufacturing country, in recent years, the scale of China consumer electronics industry output has remained above one trillion, has become one of the important industry to promote the rapid development of economy China.The short life cycle of electronic products as a typical representative of high value-added goods, logistics is an important field of high value-added market, modern consumer preferences are constantly changing, the increase of customization, the shortening of product life cycle has become a trend, compared with other traditional products, electronic products of high value, short life cycle, upgrade quickly, many varieties, small batch, batch number, these characteristics are very demanding on the sorting of goods, storage and transportation requirements, also put forward higher requirements on the timeliness of logistics. As for consumer electronics manufacturing products especially the short life cycle product approval, to increase daily products and consumption demand of electronic manufacturing, driven by the logistics demand soared, the market scale of logistics demand is increasing year by year. At present, the online shopping platform for enterprises through self built distribution center, and gradually improve the level of logistics distribution business development, but by the electronic manufacturing industry product characteristics and consumer characteristics affect the environment of the Internet, the electronic manufacturing industry in the logistics cost control is difficult. The Internet technology and information technology, especially the further refinement of the rapid development of computer technology and the social division of labor, promote the rapid updating of management technology and ideas, resulting in electronic manufacturing supply chain, virtual enterprise and a series of new management philosophy emphasizes the external coordination and cooperation, not only increases the complexity of the electronic manufacturing industry of short life cycle products logistics activities, and put forward the zero inventory, JIT, rapid response and effective customer response and higher requirements for logistics activities, make the electronic manufacturing industry is difficult to undertake such logistics business, resulting in the supply chain of specialized logistics service network in electronic manufacturing industry demand.On the one hand, in order to meet the individual needs of professional cooperative enterprise era (resource allocation) changing requirements, on the other hand, in order to achieve the integration of the logistics industry and the short life cycle product of electronic manufacturing, electronic manufacturing industry to increase the short life cycle product logistics service quality, strengthen the Logistics comprehensive control and coordination, promote the logistics network to achieve the best overall of. Because of the characteristics of the traditional logistics network without considering the short life cycle of electronic products, there is a high operating cost, affected by the environment and other characteristics, increase the uncertainty of electronic products fast circulation and market stability. It is an urgent problem to solve the problem that how to choose the best logistics mode to meet the demand of the high efficiency of the short life cycle electronic products. In view of this, this paper focuses on the research of regional logistics network of electronic products, on the one hand help logistics enterprises to seize the historic opportunity, expand the electronic manufacturing industry short cycle products and high value-added products related to the logistics market, on the other hand, is conducive to enhancing the stability of the electronic manufacturing industry short cycle product logistics, reduce the logistics cost, has an important the effect on the stability of the market, stabilize prices etc..However, how to determine the suitable short life cycle of electronic products to the regional logistics network model, the optimization and upgrading of the existing logistics network, how to grasp the development and changes of logistics demand, how to layout the logistics facilities and so on, system theory and method need to establish a modern logistics network. The electronic products of the regional logistics network optimization, usually needs to start from the analysis of regional logistics demand, hierarchy division of regional logistics network, on the basis of this, the size distribution prediction of L-OD ("O":origin, "D":destination) within the region logistics district logistics volume to the design of electronic products of regional logistics network in the heart, then the line level of regional logistics network to optimize the overall. In order to complete the optimization of regional logistics network of electronic products.Based on the analysis of the research status at home and abroad, through the investigation and analysis of a large number of data, from the characteristics, research on electronic products logistics demand factors, logistics-amount prediction theory, the construction of regional logistics network product prediction based on L-OD, put forward the basic principle and main methods of regional logistics network and electronic products. The empirical analysis. Providing feasible logistics solution for the regional logistics network operators of electronic products.This paper research results not only help solve the problems existing in the electronic product manufacturing logistics, but also to other manufacturing enterprises have a certain reference value. For electronic products manufacturing products of regional logistics network operators to provide feasible logistics solutions.This paper makes a systematic study on the regional logistics network of electronic products. Its main research work is as follows:(1) This paper summarizes the concept of logistics, modern logistics connotation and characteristics, has carried on the analysis and Research on the logistics network, the purpose and meaning of logistics demand forecast function; put forward their views on the basis of summarizing the related literature at home and abroad on the analysis, through the analysis of the core concepts and summary.(2) The empirical research on China's electronic products logistics structure, life cycle, industrial layout, production and consumption, logistics demand and logistics bottleneck; the Pearl River Delta hinterland and West Wing 3C products logistics based on the data of the empirical analysis, it reveals the law of diffusion of technology innovation. Based on a comprehensive analysis of existing relevant literature on trends, analysis of electronic products of the regional logistics demand forecasting and logistics network research characteristics and deficiencies, to ensure the scientific research direction and research focus.(3) It describes the connotation of logistics demand, defines the logistics production and demand function, supply function, analyzes the influence factors and significant characteristics of demand, and analyzes the trend of balance between supply and demand. The improved method to determine the OD value of L-OD prediction model. On this basis, then the set theory, the definition of L-OD, logistics area, L-OD, production, distribution and logistics, logistics chain, distribution volume, according to the influence mechanism of the amount, respectively, gives the mathematical model of each phase of a total of 14, the coefficient of elasticity, the first phase of the forecast growth factor; second, the joint probability model for the prediction of phase distribution model; the third stage of the network flow model, Netcom volume model, speed model, network model, network Business Hours pavement rate model, grade model, network service parameters and volatility model; the fourth stage model, the short circuit capacity limit model (all no) etc..14 models are proposed to predict the flow rate of the material, which is beneficial to improve the accuracy of prediction. And the parameter calibration, solving method and testing method of the important model are analyzed and verified.(4) The previous chapters based on the theoretical research, analysis of integrated methods of cluster analysis and growth factor, is proposed to determine the regional logistics logistics and attract the small coverage, effective method of logistics network flow distribution, the design for regional logistics network of electronic products, the four stages of research data into L-OD 14 models for quantitative analysis, reveal the internal relations and the obj ective law of things, to calculate the electronic product design of the regional logistics center, logistics network scale and the transportation network rating agencies. And then a comprehensive evaluation of the regional logistics network of electronic products L-OD prediction model based on the evaluation of regional logistics network, electronic product design results are given, the operator of regional logistics center guide electronic products in determining the scale of land, give full play to the investment benefit of the construction capital, scientific decision-making, reasonable arrangements for the construction sequence planning scheme.(5) Based on the research of the regional logistics demand forecasting model based on the number, choose suitable for electronic products of regional logistics forecast L-OD prediction model, the detailed derivation of the model, found two defects, aiming at the existing problems, puts forward the improvement method, put forward a model of 14 the material flow of rolling prediction, so as to improve the prediction accuracy of L-OD prediction model. The improved L-OD prediction model is applied to the electronic products in Foshan regional logistics network, through solving the numerical, the growth coefficient in Guangdong province Foshan regional logistics in the future, according to the Guangdong province Foshan coefficient that electronic products of regional logistics development in the next few years.Reasonable processing by dividing the logistics area of initial clustering center and edge points, the improved L-OD clustering analysis method, and the logistics chain shortest path method and capacity limited method effective integration, build a logistics network model for logistics network optimization and upgrading into effect.