A Research On A Planning On Entry-Exit Inspection And Quarantine Conformity Conditions Screening And Inspection & Risk Pre-Warning

The fast growth of China's foreign trade leads to rapid growth in entry-exit inspection and quarantine demand. According to the statistics, there're only about 30,000 inspection and quarantine staff members in China. However, in 2005, the total volume of the import and export goods exceeded 1 trillion RMB, entry and exit passenger volume reached 0.2 billion, and entry and exit vehicles exceeded 60 million, which indicate that the contradiction between the two is approaching a tense limit. In order to maintain the sustainable, stable and sound development of our foreign trade and domestic economy, the inspection and quarantine administration authority as a department of foreign-related economic management, which combines technical control and management service, has to improve its level of law enforcement and efficiency, and conduct the inspection work quickly and accurately. This paper aims to research the screening of the conformity conditions of entry-exit inspection and quarantine, and the planning and implementation of statistical sampling inspection. This topic is of profound theoretical and practical significances. It covers following contents:Chapter 1 is an overview of the research background and significance of this paper, and it introduces the current situation, contents and ideas of the research at home and abroad. Chapter 2 builds an integrated model of entry-exit inspection and quarantine conformity conditions screening by using Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and Pareto Diagram. Firstly, to set up the Risk Assessment Model of entry-exit inspection and quarantine conformity conditions based on the theory of FMEA, and then analyze the importance of conformity conditions according to the Risk Priority Numbers (RPN), and finally, select the target conformity conditions by applying the Pareto's Principle or the 80/20 rule. Chapter 3 evaluates the occurrence, severity and detection of the integrated model of the entry-exit inspection and quarantine conformity conditions screening based on D-S Evidence Theory, MSA Theory and FMEA Theory. Firstly, to analyze the risk factors of background conformity conditions, and then establish the severity evaluation index system to determine the severity level based on D-S Evidence Theory, and evaluate the detection based on MSA Theory and FMEA Theory. Chapter 4 firstly introduces the basic theory and method of statistical sampling inspection; and then formulate the adjusting sampling inspection scheme by attributes of target conformity conditions according to GB/T2828. 1-2003. Chapter 5 sets up Risk Pre-warning Evaluation Model of Inspection and Quarantine Objects Security Conditions based on Information Entropy Measures and Grey Relevance Prediction Model, and studies pre-warning according to its different level and classification. Its concrete steps are: first, to determine the comprehensive weigh by adopting Analytic Hierarchy Process Method (AHP method) and Information Entropy Measures; and then get the comprehensive evaluation value of pre-warning based on BP Prediction Model; finally to determine the specific level of pre-warning based on corrected Grey Relevance Prediction Model. Chapter 6 conducts the empirical research, takes the export plush toys as the example, screens the target conformity conditions from the background conformity conditions, and designs the adjusting single sampling inspection scheme by attributes for target conformity conditions. Chapter 7 is the summary and expectation of this paper; it gives the conclusion, the innovation points and future directions of research. The innovation points of this paper mainly include:(1)To build an integrated model of entry-exit inspection and quarantine conformity conditions screening by applying Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and Pareto Diagram;(2) To evaluate the occurrence and severity of the entry-exit inspection and quarantine conformity conditions based on D-S (Dempster-Shafer) Evidence Theory, and evaluate the detection based on Measurement System Analysis Theory (MSA) and Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA);(3) To design the adjusting single sampling inspection scheme by attributes according to GB/T2828. 1-2003, and conduct the empirical research.(4) To set up the risk pre-warning assessment model of the entry-exit inspection and quarantine objects security conditions based on Information Entropy Measures and corrected Grey Relevance Prediction Model, and get pre-warning value and level.