Public Emergency Management Procedures And Emergency Operation Capability Assessment

On the basis of analyzing public emergency management modes and procedures, this dissertation has conducted researches along such a technical route as construction of public emergency management system→procedures of pre-emergency management→procedures of emergency management in process→procedures of post-emergency management→assessment on emergency operation capability.The paper is composed of five parts.(1) Theoretic foundamentals of public emergency management.The term "emergency management" and several relevant concepts are defined and analyzed; Based on the theory of complex systems and that of immunology,the author identifies a reference frame for the public emergency management system—biological immune system;And the feasibility is explored to apply Fuzzy Set theory to risk mitigation decision making and public incident risk level estimition,and the foundamentals of fuzzy prediction,decision and fuzzy comprehensive assessment are summarized.(2) Construction of public emergency immune system.The emergency management agencies system and practices of typical countries are analyzed and compared,based on which a concept of biomimetic system for emergency management is put forth.Besides,the author studies the way to realize "activation" mechanism within the public emergency immune system.(3) Procedures of pre-emergency management.The principle underlying public incident risk mitigation is analyzed,based on which a model for risk mitigation alternatives evaluation and decision making is developed with employment of fuzzy probability.Besides,the author explores the principle underlying public incident risk assessment,and develops a risk forcasting model applying the fuzzy clustering algorithm.Ultimately,an empirical analysis is conducted.(4) Procedures of emergency management in process and of post-emergency management.The problems are solved concerning construction and operation of such emergency disposal forces as police,fire protection and medical staff,neighborhood search & rescue teams,the central emergency response station and the concerned professional departments;A public incident response and disposal system is suggested; And the author also studies how to carry out poat-disaster recoery and reconstruction.(5) Emergency operation capability assessment system."Capability Assessment for Readiness" is introduced and the relevant researches are summarized,based on which an emergency operation capability assessment indicator system for China is put forth and a 4-hierachy fuzzy comprehensive assessment model is developed.And it is also suggested to realize "self-learning" mechanism of the assessment system. Ultimately,an empirical analysis is conducted.