Research On The Trade Potential Between Sichuan And Chongqing And RCEP Member Countrie

The signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement has further deepened the trade cooperation between China and RCEP member countries.However,at present,the domestic environment of China’s development continues to undergo profound and complex changes,the scale of foreign trade between the east and west of China is huge,and the trade structure is unbalanced,so it is urgent to improve the infrastructure and logistics and transportation conditions in the west,improve the efficiency of commodity circulation in the western region,and open up overseas markets for Southeast Asia.As a highland of foreign trade in the western region,the SichuanChongqing region should actively promote regional construction under such background and requirements.According to trade data in 2021,the total import and export volume of each city within the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle in southwest China accounts for 98.81% of the total import and export volume of the Sichuan-Chongqing region,and the trade structure is unbalanced,so it is urgent to improve the infrastructure and logistics and transportation conditions in the west,improve the efficiency of commodity circulation in the western region.As a highland of foreign trade in the western region,under such background and requirements,Sichuan-Chongqing region should actively promote regional construction,implement the Outline of Construction Planning for Chengdu-Chongqing,promote the constructions and pay attention to reflecting the advantages and of the region,create an important growth pole and a new power source that drives the high-quality development of the country,and effectively improve the imbalance of the trade pattern currently facing the Sichuan-Chongqing region.This paper delves deeply into the fundamentals of major international trade theories,utilizing provincial and municipal panel data to analyze the actual basis,trade potential,and influencing factors of commerce between Sichuan-Chongqing region and RCEP member countries.Through a comprehensive review of pertinent literature both domestically and internationally,this research is conducted.This paper begins with a summary of the research background and importance,followed by an exploration of the research ideas and methods.This paper’s theoretical basis of international trade is presented in Chapter 2 and the research literature on trade potential is sorted into three categories: theoretical development,evolution of research methods.The research standing of China and other countries participating in the RCEP.Chapter 3 analyzes in detail the actual basis of trade development between Sichuan-Chongqing and RCEP member countries,and first summarizes the trade characteristics of the two sides from the three dimensions of trade scale,trade structure and trade mode,and calculates the trade dependence index on this basis.Chapter 4 examines the influencing factors of trade potential by constructing a stochastic frontier trade gravity model.Chapter 5 uses empirical evidence to measure the trade efficiency and trade potential between Sichuan and Chongqing and RCEP member countries,and analyzes the trade potential of both sides from the overall and sub-sectoral perspectives.Finally,Chapter 6 summarizes the main research conclusions of this paper,and provides suggestions on how to ensure the implementation of relevant policies from a global perspective,so as to consolidate the existing trade foundation and expand trade space.The main conclusions of this paper are: first,the trade between Sichuan-Chongqing region and RCEP member countries has developed rapidly,but the types of trade products are single,and the trade products are mainly machine-made products;Second,the factors affecting the trade potential between Sichuan-Chongqing and RCEP members include per capita gross national product,population size,geographical distance,economic freedom,tariffs and free trade agreements;Third,from the perspective of overall trade,the trade potential between Sichuan-Chongqing and RCEP member countries is gradually rising,the absolute amount of trade potential between Sichuan-Chongqing and Japan is the largest,the space for expansion is the largest,and the trade potential with Brunei is the smallest.From the perspective of trade in subdivided industries,the trade expansion space between Sichuan-Chongqing and RCEP member countries in machinery manufactured commodities is greater than that of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,by-fishery and processing raw materials.