Analysis Of The Efficiency And Potential Of Agricultural Export Trade Between China And RCEP Member Countries

When the 20 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is held in 2022,General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized in the meeting that we should strengthen the construction of country’s trade power,promote the high-quality implementation of the “Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement”(RCEP),and fully tap agreement institutional bonus and utilize the free trade that China has joined.Among the RCEP member countries,most countries have regular trade in goods with China,such as Japan,ASEAN,etc.,and these countries still have a large trade space to be tapped,so China can rely on regional trade agreements to develop emerging markets,Realize the upgrading of trade scale and structure.According to the relevant data,with the continuous advancement of the regional trade agreement,the scale of trade in agricultural products imported by member countries of the RCEP agreement to China has shown a trend of increasing volatility,and the total amount of trade in agricultural products has also continued to rise.For example,major exporters South Korea,The trade volume of agricultural products in Thailand and Malaysia will increase by 9.45%,8.36% and 21.18% year-on-year in 2021,respectively.However,from the perspective of bilateral trade,China and RCEP member states have differences in the effectiveness of coercive constraints on people’s behavior in terms of political and economic rules,such as government integrity,government spending,fiscal liberalization,and trade liberalization.Trade frictions increase trade transaction costs and ultimately affect product trade.Therefore,under the background that RCEP is gradually becoming effective for member countries,in-depth understanding of the specific impact of the institutional distance between China and other member countries on agricultural product exports,and research on the factors affecting China’s agricultural product export trade with other member countries and trade efficiency,China is developing emerging international When trading markets,how to overcome or use the distance in political and economic systems can better grasp the accurate development direction of agricultural export trade,open up a larger trade market,reduce trade costs,fully tap the potential of agricultural export trade and improve Trade efficiency has some meaning.This paper will conduct a preliminary descriptive statistical analysis on the export trade of agricultural products between China and RCEP member countries,including relevant trade status,country analysis,product structure analysis and trade complementarity analysis.The research samples include a total of 13 other countries with relatively complete data except Brunei.member countries,using the stochastic frontier gravity model to analyze the factors affecting China’s agricultural product exports to 13 member countries in the research sample,and using the trade inefficiency model to conduct empirical research on how institutional distance affects agricultural product exports between China and member countries.Based on the agricultural product trade data between China and 13 member countries in the research sample for 20 years from 2002 to 2021,this paper divides the analysis of the factors affecting China’s agricultural exports to each member country into two parts: basic variables and trade inefficiency items.Using panel data,an empirical test and analysis is carried out on the export of agricultural products between my country and RCEP member countries.Through the analysis of the basic trade variables in the stochastic frontier gravity model,it can be concluded that the economic aggregate of the importing and exporting countries and the population of the importing countries will have a certain impact on the agricultural product export trade between China and other member countries,and the relationship between the two countries The greater the geographical distance,the more negatively it affects the mutual agricultural product trade,and the two countries have a common border and a common language can significantly and positively affect the scale of agricultural product export trade,while the gross national income of the importing country has a negative impact on Export trade has no significant impact.In addition,by introducing the institutional distance into the regression analysis of the trade inefficiency model,it is found that the distance of government integrity,tax burden system,government expenditure system,business liberalization system,fiscal liberalization system and trade liberalization system have significant effects on China and RCEP.The efficiency of agricultural product export trade among member countries has a significant impact,and the impact of the distance of the government expenditure system is negative.In addition,based on the overall results of trade efficiency calculations,the efficiency and potential of export trade show large country-to-country differences.From 2002 to 2021,the top three countries with the highest average export trade efficiency of China’s agricultural products to RCEP member countries are Thailand,New Zealand and Myanmar.The average export trade efficiency level between Japan and South Korea is the lowest,and it shows a downward trend year by year.However,from the perspective of trade potential and trade growth expansion space,there is still a lot of room for China’s agricultural product export trade to Japan and South Korea.Through the descriptive analysis of the agricultural export trade pattern between China and RCEP member countries,as well as the empirical study of the influence factors of agricultural export trade and the influence of institutional distance on trade efficiency,this paper clarifies the mechanism and degree of influence of China’s influence factors on the agricultural export trade of member countries,and optimizes the construction of international transport routes and the means of government administrative supervision in order to provide China and RCEP member countries with It provides feasible suggestions for the high-quality development of agricultural trade between China and RCEP member countries.