Risk Management Study Of LY Rooftop 10MWp Distributed Photovoltaic Power Project

The 14th Five-Year Plan for China’s National Economic and Social Development proposes to encourage the development of non-fossil energy sources,maintains both centralized and distributed,accelerates the expansion of wind power and photovoltaic technology for power generation,and accelerates the booming development of distributed renewable energy in the east-central region.While achieving the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,China’s photovoltaic power generation,especially distributed photovoltaic technology,will have the opportunity to develop rapidly and vigorously.Solar photovoltaic power generation is the world’s most technically and economically mature,the largest scale response,the fastest growing new energy,can make full use of renewable solar energy,while both low-carbon environmental protection characteristics,and the distributed photovoltaic power generation projects are fully applied to the building roof,can maximize the savings of land resources.Shandong is the first pilot region to carry out the construction of the national electricity spot market,the market rules are more mature,can provide a model for the national PV project into the market operation,through the Shandong LY roof 10MWp distributed photovoltaic power generation project as an example,the project risk factors for in-depth analysis,for the future of the national large-scale roof distributed photovoltaic project risk management provides theoretical and practical This paper provides a theoretical and practical basis for the future risk management of large rooftop distributed PV projects nationwide.Firstly,this paper introduces the theory of PV project risk management,starts from the current situation of risk management research of PV projects at home and abroad,composes and analyzes various risk management methods,summarizes and concludes the concept and characteristics of risk,the importance of project risk management,the main characteristics of PV project risk,and the methods of PV project risk management.Secondly,this paper conducts a detailed study and analysis of the LY rooftop 10MWp distributed photovoltaic power generation project,outlining the characteristics of the LY rooftop 10MWp distributed solar power generation project in terms of geographical location,solar resource situation,installed capacity and project investment,and briefly elaborating the construction necessity and engineering characteristics of the project.This paper adopts a combination of literature analysis and Delphi method to identify 20 potential risk factors affecting the smooth implementation of the project,including 20 risk factors in six aspects,such as environmental risk,policy risk,market risk,economic risk,management risk and technical risk.Under this framework,evaluation indexes for project risk evaluation were constructed,and the weighting analysis of LY rooftop 10MWp distributed PV power project was conducted by using hierarchical analysis method,and the more important risk points were found to be solar resource risk,management system risk,subsidy and other incentive risks.Based on the research results of hierarchical analysis method to carry out fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of the project,it is found that the overall risk level of the project risk factors is low,among which the two higher risks are policy risk and market risk.Finally,according to the analyzed project risk characteristics,the whole life cycle analysis is carried out from the start-up phase,construction phase and operation phase of LY rooftop 10MWp distributed photovoltaic power generation project,and corresponding risk prevention and prevention countermeasures are formulated according to the characteristics of each period.A comprehensive,effective and dynamic risk control method is applied to carry out a comprehensive risk control of the rooftop distributed solar power generation risks in order to guarantee the effective and stable operation of the photovoltaic power generation project,so that the rooftop distributed photovoltaic power generation project can obtain both economic and social benefits.