Research On Carbon Emission And Influencing Factors Of Urban And Rural Residents’ Consumption In Anhui Province

With the continuous economic development,the consumption level of residents has increased significantly,and the energy consumption and carbon emission have also increased,and the carbon emission of residents’ living consumption has gradually aroused widespread concern.The life of the residents involves the production and consumption of many links and a wide range of urban and rural residents consumption level and structure also exists a large difference,with a huge potential for emission reduction.Therefore,based on the urban-rural quadratic perspective,an in-depth study on the current situation of carbon emissions from residential consumption and its influencing factors in Anhui Province is of guiding significance to effectively control the growth of carbon emissions from residential consumption and achieve precise emission reduction.This paper takes urban and rural areas in Anhui Province as the research objects.Firstly,the carbon emission coefficient method is used to measure the direct carbon emission of residents’ consumption and the indirect carbon emission of residents’ consumption based on the IO-CLA model,and the results of carbon emission of residents’ consumption and the difference between urban and rural areas are compared and analyzed.Secondly,the LMDI decomposition method is used to investigate the effects of changes in direct and indirect carbon emission factors separately;Finally,the Tapio decoupling model is used to further analyze the decoupling state between residential consumption carbon emissions and consumption expenditure.The results of the study showed that:(1)During 2002-2020,the total direct carbon emissions from residents’ consumption in Anhui Province showed an increasing trend,and the average annual growth rate of direct carbon emissions from rural residents’ consumption was higher than that of urban residents,7.60% and 7.38% respectively.The gap in direct per capita carbon emissions between urban and rural areas is gradually decreasing.The energy structure of direct carbon emissions of urban and rural residents’ consumption has gradually changed from coal as the mainstay to a diversified structure with a mixture of electricity,oil and natural gas.(2)During 2002-2017,the total indirect carbon emissions of urban and rural residents’ consumption in Anhui Province showed an increasing trend,with an average annual growth rate of 9.39% and 4.34%,respectively,and the ratio between urban and rural areas was gradually increasing.The per capita indirect carbon emissions of urban residents’ consumption are higher than those of rural areas,but the average annual growth rate is lower than that of rural areas,and the ratio between urban and rural areas is gradually decreasing.In addition,the residential consumption category is dominant in the structure of indirect carbon consumption.(3)Analyzing the influencing factors,it is found that per capita consumption expenditure is the most important factor contributing to the growth of direct and indirect carbon emissions from residential consumption,and energy price and technology level are the main factors inhibiting the growth of direct and indirect carbon emissions from residential consumption,respectively.Looking at the eight consumption categories,the residential consumption category has the most significant impact on urban and rural indirect carbon emissions.(4)Studying the decoupling state shows that both direct and indirect carbon emissions of urban and rural residents’ consumption show weak decoupling with consumption expenditure as a whole.The decoupling index of indirect carbon emissions in urban areas is higher than that in rural areas,indicating that the growth of indirect carbon emissions of urban residents is more dependent on consumption level.Based on the above findings,the following suggestions are made for carbon emission reduction of urban and rural residents’ consumption in Anhui Province:improve energy structure,optimize the source of energy consumption of residents;reduce energy intensity and improve residents’ energy supply system;advocate green travel and use energy-saving home appliances;develop low-carbon buildings,develop low-carbon architecture and strengthen social awareness;advocate low-carbon diet and low-carbon recreational activities;develop low-carbon consumption and change the concept and mode of consumption.Figure[39]Table[23]Reference[109]...