In recent years,the global average temperature has been rising,and in order to avoid the risks associated with climate change and achieve sustainable development.The countryside,which is supposed to play a key role in achieving the "double carbon" target,is currently showing excessive energy consumption and increasing high-carbon behavioral activities,becoming a key issue in the next phase of low-carbon control in China.With carbon neutrality as the research objective,this paper takes the rural areas of Yantai as the research object and takes ecological,production and living space as the analysis unit to build a carbon neutral system in the rural areas of Yantai,in order to explore the optimal path to achieve carbon neutrality in the rural areas of Yantai and to enrich the theory and practice of green and low-carbon construction in the rural areas of Yantai.Based on the theories of carbon neutrality,three-life space,system dynamics and low-carbon village construction,this study investigates the development of three-life space and carbon activities in rural Yantai,analyzes the carbon activities in the development of three-life space in rural Yantai,and extracts and screens the factors affecting carbon neutrality from the above three aspects by combining the rural planning guidelines and relevant literature.The 21 influencing elements were finally identified,and a preliminary analysis of the identified influencing elements was carried out with the help of the Interpretative Structural Model(ISM)to construct a system of influencing elements for carbon neutrality in rural Yantai city.The SD model is constructed based on the system of carbon neutral elements in rural Yantai,and the system is divided into four subsystems: ecological space,productione space,living space and carbon neutrality.The system dynamics model of carbon neutrality in rural areas of Yantai was constructed.Secondly,on the premise of validity and stability testing of the model,four different single-factor growth scenarios are set through sensitivity analysis of key parameters,and the results of single-factor policy simulation are analyzed,and then composite dynamic simulation is carried out based on the results of single-factor simulation,and two comprehensive regulation scenarios are set,and optimization comparison analysis is carried out to explore the trend of carbon neutrality under different simulation scenarios,and to conclude that achieving The optimal development path to achieve carbon neutrality in rural Yantai city is determined.Finally,based on the analysis of the optimal development path of carbon neutrality in rural Yantai,the optimal strategies are proposed to optimize the three living spaces,improve the quantity and quality of ecological space,enhance the coordination of three industries and energy transformation in production space,promote the change of consumption concept in living space and improve the infrastructure based on the industrial structure,energy structure,consumption pattern and ecological land use. |