Research On The Green Development Of Anhui Logistics Industry Under The Background Of "Carbon Peaking And Carbon Neutrality"

Global warming has become an objective reality,and it is an irresistible trend for all countries to join hands to tackle climate change.As a major responsible country,China has proposed a carbon peak by 2030 and a carbon neutral target by 2060.The realization of the two-carbon goal requires the joint promotion of all industries.As the second largest industry with carbon emission,the logistics industry is bound to implement the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality to achieve green and low-carbon development.As a province in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and Yangtze River Delta,Anhui is a model for green and low-carbon development.How to realize the green and low carbon development of Anhui logistics industry is related to the realization of Anhui’s"double carbon"goal.What is the current development of Anhui logistics industry?How to achieve the"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality"has important practical research value.Therefore,this study takes Anhui logistics industry as the research object,analyzes the current development status and existing problems of Anhui logistics industry,and puts forward suggestions combined with simulation.Logistics refers to the physical flow of goods from the place of supply to the place of receiving.Green logistics refers to the process of logistics activities through the control of the logistics links to the environmental harm,purification of logistics environment,improve the efficiency of logistics resources.At present,in the context of dealing with climate change,the logistics industry should be responsible for the environment while realizing the circulation of physical goods.Taking Anhui logistics industry as the research object,this paper discusses the path of realizing low-carbon development of Anhui logistics industry under the background of"double carbon"goal.By means of literature review,LMDI factor decomposition,system dynamics and other methods,this paper investigates the current situation and driving factors of carbon emissions in Anhui’s logistics industry,and simulates the policy scenarios for reducing carbon emissions in Anhui’s logistics industry.The results show that:（1）On the whole,the energy consumption and carbon emissions of the logistics industry in Anhui Province show an increasing trend year by year,which has a large gap with the target of achieving the carbon peak in 2030.（2）From the perspective of driving factors,economic output was the main factor promoting the increase of carbon emissions from the logistics industry in Anhui Province,and energy efficiency was the secondary factor;Industry structure is the first reason to restrain the carbon emission of logistics industry in Anhui province,followed by energy structure.However,the development of logistics industry mainly depends on oil products,and clean energy accounts for a small proportion.（3）Based on the key factors of Anhui Province’s logistics carbon emissions,three scenarios were simulated.In the baseline scenario,Anhui Province could not achieve the carbon peak in 2030,and it was concluded through simulation that Anhui Province would achieve the carbon peak in 2041,with the total CO₂ emission of 51.139million tons.It is also difficult to achieve the target of carbon peak under the condition of single factor change.Under the scenario of comprehensive application of system and technological innovation,the carbon emissions of the logistics industry will reach the peak around 2030.In order to ensure Anhui logistics industry to achieve carbon peak in 2030,countermeasures are taken from the following aspects:from the perspective of supply side,develop new energy,optimize energy structure,clean energy instead of oil products,from the perspective of technology and policy,improve energy efficiency;Train logistics personnel,improve logistics performance;Transform the mode of economic growth and promote the high-quality development of logistics industry;Advocate the concept of green life,reduce the total amount of carbon emissions at the consumption end.Figure[19]Table[11]Reference[98]...