Research On China’s Natural Gas Price Formation Mechanism And Macroeconomic Effects Of Price Fluctuation

With the country’s emphasis on ecological and environmental protection and high-quality development,low-carbon development has become the primary goal of economic development,and optimizing the energy structure to achieve clean and low-carbon energy development is the only way to achieve green development in the future.Natural gas is a globally recognized clean energy.In the future,the country will further encourage natural gas consumption,and my country’s natural gas consumption will continue to increase.With the increase in natural gas consumption,the degree of dependence on foreign gas continues to rise,and the issue of natural gas price safety has attracted attention.On the basis of in-depth research on the price formation mechanism,by constructing a DSGE model that includes natural gas price shocks,analyzing the impact of natural gas price fluctuations and technological shocks on China’s macroeconomics will help the formulation of my country’s macroeconomic policies to be more targeted and time-effective Therefore,it is possible to more effectively defend against the impact of natural gas price fluctuations on my country’s economy.This article comprehensively expounds my country’s natural gas price formation mechanism and the impact of natural gas price fluctuations on my country’s macro economy.First,by analyzing the proportion of natural gas in my country’s energy consumption and comparing it with the per capita natural gas consumption in developed countries,the current status of China’s natural gas reserves,the status of China’s natural gas market supply and demand,and the current status of the natural gas industry,it is believed that future natural gas consumption will have a greater impact in my country.potential.Further review my country’s natural gas price formation mechanism,and discover the problems in my country’s natural gas price formation mechanism and the determination of natural gas prices to move towards marketization.In the future,with the improvement of the natural gas price mechanism,natural gas prices can better reflect market supply and demand.Therefore,the impact of natural gas price fluctuations on the macro economy is studied,and a two-sector model including natural gas price shocks and technological shocks is constructed to simulate the impact of natural gas price fluctuations on my country ’ s macro economy.Economic impact.The following conclusions are drawn through research: China’s natural gas consumption potential is huge in the future,and import dependence will continue to rise in the short term;the current natural gas price formation mechanism in China still has a strong monopoly.With the advancement of natural gas price market reforms,the future natural gas price formation mechanism It is bound to move towards marketization;natural gas price fluctuations will have the following macroeconomic effects on China’s economy as follows: price increases will have a tightening effect on the economy,price drops will have an expansion effect on the economy,and natural gas consumption will respond quickly and sensitively to natural gas price fluctuations.In the short term,natural gas Consumption is greatly affected by natural gas price shocks,but medium-and long-term technology is the main factor restricting natural gas consumption.And based on the conclusions,it is proposed to increase technological investment in the natural gas field,improve the technological level,and promote the increase of production;strengthen the construction of underground gas storage and improve the capacity of gas storage peak shaving;further promote the reform of natural gas prices,accelerate the pace of the reform of natural gas market,and focus on Promote the shale gas revolution;improve macroeconomic monitoring and early warning and risk prevention and control capabilities and other related recommendations.