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Research On Multi-agent Evolutionary Game And Cooperation Path Of Clean Energy Promotion And Use In Rural Areas In Northern China

Posted on:2024-07-03Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y YeFull Text:PDF
GTID:2530307148487034Subject:Management Science and Engineering
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The promotion and use of clean energy in northern rural areas will help to meet the growing energy demand in rural areas and reduce environmental pollution caused by the use of traditional energy sources,which is of great significance in promoting the construction of the rural ecological environment.In the process of implementing clean energy policies,however,there is a game between several actors,and the environment for energy use in rural areas is not ideal.In some areas,villagers have installed clean energy devices but have not formed the habit of using them,resulting in poor utilization of clean energy devices.Therefore,according to the villagers’ own behavioral differences,the process of promoting clean energy in northern rural areas is divided into two stages of "promotionuse",and an evolutionary game approach is adopted to consider how to meet the interests of each party under the interaction of multiple subjects,constructing a game model under the promotion and use stages,and refining three behavioral strategies from the villagers’ perspective The three behavioral strategies are extracted from the villagers’ perspective;numerical simulations of the evolutionary stabilization strategies in the game model are conducted and the influencing factors under different stages are analysed.Finally,a study is conducted to investigate the multi-actor collaboration path for the promotion and use of clean energy in northern rural areas,and to provide a reference for the construction of a long-term mechanism for multi-actor collaboration to promote the development of clean energy in northern rural areas.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)In the north,clean energy can be divided into two phases: promotion and use.During the promotion phase,local governments encourage villagers and energy enterprises to participate in clean energy projects.During the use phase,local governments provide financial support and rein in the short-sighted behavior of energy companies.In the two phases,villages have three strategic options: positive strategy,"wallhead" strategy,and negative strategy.Positive and "wallhead" methods cover the "promotion-use" period,while negative techniques primarily emerge in the promotion stage.(2)The evolutionary stability strategy is inextricably linked to local government policy and financial support,the relative size of costs and benefits for energy enterprises and villagers,and the severity of government penalties for enterprises.To complete the promotion of rural clean energy,it must be inseparable from the transformation support of energy enterprises;in the use stage,it must be inseparable from local government subsidies,penalties,and other means to achieve the habit of rural residents using clean energy for a long time.(3)Local governments,energy firms,and communities all have varying degrees of influence over one another’s desire to cooperate.The government has a greater influence on energy firms’ behavior;when local governments’ initial desire to intervene is low,it is difficult to convince energy corporations and villages to join.According to simulation studies,villagers are the most sensitive to maintenance prices,and when maintenance costs fluctuate in a limited range,it affects villagers’ subsequent use of clean energy.Clean energy costs more than traditional energy sources.Installing clean energy equipment is a sunk investment for villages,who will have increased expectations for the convenience and dependability of clean energy.(4)Finally,the following realistic paths are proposed based on the analysis of game simulation results: for areas where clean energy pilots are about to be launched,learn from the experience of other regions,focus on preventing the occurrence of problems such as loose coal re-burning and follow-up insecurity,predict possible future problems in advance,and formulate targeted preventive measures to ensure that clean energy equipment is "not installed in vogue." Consolidate prior policy accomplishments in pilot areas,focus on energy after-sales service,and expand the coverage and real usage rate of clean energy projects in rural areas.
Keywords/Search Tags:Clean energy in rural areas, Multi-agent, "Promote-use" two-stage, Cooperative path, Evolutionary game
PDF Full Text Request
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