Interactive Response And Path Analysis Of Urbanization And High-quality Economic Development In Shandong Province

The orderly development of urbanization is an important symbol of national modernization,and high-quality economic development is an inevitable requirement to adapt to the changes of major social contradictions.As a province with a large economy and population in the eastern coastal region of China,Shandong Province occupies an important position in the national economic regional pattern,and the People’s Government of Shandong Province clearly proposed to accelerate the construction of new-type urbanization in 2021 to promote high-quality economic development in "seeking progress in stability",and also pointed out in the "Shandong Province New-type Urbanization Plan" to promote urbanization with high-quality economic development.It can be seen that urbanization and high-quality economic development in Shandong Province rely on and complement each other.The general idea of this paper is based on theoretical research,status quo research,index system construction,and empirical analysis.Based on the analysis and judgment of the urbanization and high-quality economic development mechanism and future development trend of Shandong Province from 2000 to 2020,through the analysis of the current situation and system construction of the two systems,the interaction relationship between the two systems was analyzed by PVAR auto-regressive model and expand forecasts;Finally,the interaction analysis of the secondary indicators of the two systems is used as an innovative expansion,and the strength of the interaction relationship between the systems is obtained,and more targeted policy development suggestions for Shandong Province are proposed.Based on the above ideas,the research conclusions are as follows:(1)the level of urbanization and high-quality economic development have strong economic inertia and good self-reinforcing effect in the short term;In the long run,the two-way promotion effect of urbanization and high-quality economic development will gradually take shape and be positive.(2)The variance contribution rate of urbanization to high-quality economic development has increased steadily,and the two systems of urbanization and high-quality economic development can achieve a win-win situation.(3)The level of urbanization has a stronger impact on high-quality economic development;Economic urbanization and shared development show a strong interactive relationship.