| With the deepening of aging,the development trend of population aging,the risk of illness and disability increase,effective analysis and understanding of the main factors affecting the health of the elderly long life,to improve the level of health literacy of the population,promote the elderly health service system,improve the national health service security and improve the health life expectancy of the elderly,has important practical significance.As one of the important indicators to measure the health level of the population,health life expectancy is a comprehensive reflection of the length and quality of life of the population.The thesis mainly starts from the following aspects:First,focus on the social background of aging,especially the increasingly serious situation of aging in Shanghai.Through the reading and analysis of the literature,this paper clarifies the basic situation and theoretical basis of health life expectancy and its related concepts,finds out the present situation and changes of health life expectancy of the elderly,and recognizes the problems existing in improving the health level and healthy life expectancy of the elderly.Second,through the collation and statistical analysis of the tracking survey data,the health multistate life table of the elderly is established by using the method of health multistate life table,the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai is measured and analyzed,and the level of healthy life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai and the whole country is compared and analyzed.Third,based on the collation and analysis of tracking survey data,SPSS24 is used to analyze the correlation of influencing factors of health life expectancy,collate and screen out the influencing factors,and then establish multiple regression model from different dimensions,analyze the influencing factors of health life expectancy by sex and age,and draw a conclusion.Fourth,through the comprehensive analysis of the research problems and empirical results,this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to optimize and improve the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai.The results are as follows: The first is the life expectancy of the elderly in the 60-65 age group in Shanghai is 24.72 years,the life expectancy of the healthy life is 17.47 years,the self-assessment health and self-care health status of the elderly are better than the national average level,and the healthy life expectancy of the low-age old people has a larger lifting space.The second is the gender difference in the life expectancy of the healthy life,the life expectancy of the female is generally higher than the healthy life expectancy of the male of the same age,but the health loss rate of the old female is greater than that of the old male in the same period.The third is that the life of the healthy life expectancy of the male is lower than that of the female of the same age,but with the increase of the age,the health expected life proportion and the gap are gradually reduced.Fourth,the level of education is improved,and the life expectancy of health is improved significantly.The results show that the improvement of the educational level will significantly improve the life expectancy of health,and the education level will increase by 1 unit,and the healthy life expectancy will increase by 0.212 units.Fifth,the improvement of the economic situation of the residents can significantly promote the increase of the life expectancy of the healthy people,and the positive correlation between the economic situation and the life expectancy of the residents is found in the empirical analysis,that is,the economic situation of the residents is increased by 1 unit,and the healthy life expectancy will be increased by 0.281 units.The sixth is the age growth,rural household registration,labor-intensive occupation and excessive alcohol consumption have a negative impact on the life expectancy,such as the life length of the elderly per unit,the life expectancy of health is reduced by 0.623 units,the male,the degree of culture is high,the married,moderate exercise,Economic conditions and the like are protective factors for the life expectancy of health,for example,the life expectancy of men is generally lower than that of women,but with age,the health expectancy of men is lower than that of women.The contribution of the paper is mainly in:First one,based on the data of CFPS,the healthy and multi-state life table method was used to measure the life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai,and on the basis of that,the life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai was compared and analyzed.so as to make a clearer understanding of the actual situation of the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai;secondly,through the description analysis and the correlation analysis of the influencing factors related to the health level of the old people,The effect of sub-age on the life expectancy of healthy life was analyzed.In-depth analysis and understanding of the way and intensity of the influence factors,the results and conclusions of the study have a great positive effect on the improvement of the health level of the old people,the improvement of the healthy life expectancy and the improvement of the life expectancy.The innovation of the paper is as follows: The first is to focus on the research object.In the past,there are few studies on the health level of the elderly in Shanghai,and the measurement of life expectancy and the influence factors are very few.The main body of this paper is the study of the influence factors on the life expectancy of the elderly in Shanghai.And the second,the measurement method is more accurate.In the past,most of the health life expectancy is measured by Sullivan method based on single time point data.The method is based on the multi-state health life table.The measurement results are more accurate and representative due to higher and accurate data requirements.The third is to establish the regression analysis model of the influence factors on the life expectancy of the healthy life expectancy in different conditions by using the multiple regression analysis method,and to study the influence factors on the life expectancy and the direction of the factors under different conditions. |