| With the growing military strength of various countries,the confrontation between the enemy and us has changed from a simple confrontation between weapons to a confrontation between equipment systems.As a result,the traditional modeling method of weapon confrontation is no longer applicable,and the research on modeling method of equipment systems confrontation has become an inevitable trend.In order to explore the specific factors affecting combat effectiveness in the equipment system,a variety of modeling methods are given in academic research.System dynamics has been one of the simpler and more effective methods to understand the real combat process more clearly.So far,the system dynamics method has been widely used in the combat field,and many theoretical models have been obtained.In view of the fact that the system dynamics can reasonably and effectively describe the combat model of both sides,this paper explores and analyzes the weapon system of system based on the background of the red and blue combat at sea,which expands the historical combat model and provides reference for the subsequent research.The specific research content of this paper is as follows.1)It is proved that the system dynamics method is feasible to model the equipment system.Based on the definition of equipment system,seven common modeling methods are analyzed,which are in sharp contrast with system dynamics modeling.Then the system dynamics and simulation software Vensim PLE are introduced.The feasibility of the system dynamics method is analyzed from the aspects of the operational cost,the complexity of the combat model,the cooperative and confrontational relationship between the two sides and the qualitative index in the model.It lays a theoretical foundation for the subsequent modeling and simulation.2)In order to study the change of the number of the red and blue forces in combat at sea and the influence of the relevant factors in the four links of OODA loop on the results.OODA loop theory is used to analyze and study the systematic combat process.The system dynamics method is used to establish and simulate a maritime combat model of both red and blue.The results show that the higher detection speed of the red side will accelerate the loss of the blue side under the same conditions.At the same time,the target of red can be achieved by electronic interference that can reduce the accuracy of blue comprehensive judgment and the reliability of blue detection.3)In order to study the force loss of both sides in anti-ship combat at sea and the influence of electronic equipment on force loss.On the basis of 2),the three aspects of combat method,operation link and equipment type are detailed.Based on the extraction of the key factors of the red and blue confrontation system,the feedback relationship between the variables is analyzed.A system dynamics model based on lanchester equation is constructed and simulated on Vensim PLE software platform.The simulation results of different signal strength of blue electronic interference and reconnaissance equipment are compared.The simulation analysis show that when the two are equal,the loss of force of the blue side decreases,while that of the red side increases.It provides some theoretical support for reducing the loss of force of the two sides in the battle. |
