Study On The Overall Network Structure Of Horticultural Products Trade And Its Influencing Factors Along The "Belt And Road"

The “Belt and Road” initiative has brought new opportunities for the economic development of China and the countries along the line.Agricultural trade is an important part of the “Belt and Road” regional economic cooperation.The trade of horticultural products has a profound impact on the foreign trade of China's agricultural products.With the promotion of the “Belt and Road” strategy,what kind of structural characteristics does the overall network of horticultural products? What factors affect the overall trade pattern of horticultural products? Through the discussion of these issues,it is conducive to promoting the trade of horticultural products between the countries along the “Belt and Road” and promoting the inter-connectivity and mutual benefit of the “Belt and Road” regional economic construction.This study is based on the horticultural product trade data of 65 countries along the “Belt and Road”(2008-2016),and builds an overall network of horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road”,using network density,average distance,reciprocity,cohesion,centrality,The overall network analysis method such as block model and QAP method analyzes the overall network structure of horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road” and its influencing factors.The results show that:(1)The overall network density,reciprocity and cohesion of the horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road” increased by 13.55%,0.26% and 5.11% respectively,and the overall three showed a rapid growth trend.The higher value indicates that the trade links of horticultural products have become more closely linked since the “Belt and Road” strategy,and the degree of interconnection has been continuously improved and the cohesiveness has increased.(2)The overall network of horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road” countries has presented “core-edge”."Structure,China,Russia and India are at the core of trade,and countries such as East Timor,Bhutan and Brunei are at the edge of trade.China is at the center of the overall network of horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road”,and has played a leading role in the trade of horticultural products along the “Belt and Road” countries;(3)The overall network of national horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road” in 2008-2016 is divided into four sections.The first sector includes 19 countries including Afghanistan and is an external sector.The second sector includes 22 countries including China.The core sector;the third sector includes 12 countries such as Bahrain,which is the internal sector;the fourth edition contains 12 countries such as Bhutan,which is an isolated sector,and the relationship between the various sections is verified by the central analysis results,combined with the core degree calculation.Verification of the relationship between the various sectors;(4)economic development level,geographical distance,language is the same and whether the signing of the FTA agreement is an important factor affecting the agricultural trade relations and trade volume between countries,among which the signing of the FTA agreement is to promote The main factors in the formation of agricultural trade relations.Finally,this study proposes that we should make full use of the resources of various countries,give play to the functions of different sectors,strengthen the construction of the “Belt and Road” transportation infrastructure,promote the signing of free trade agreements with the countries along the “Belt and Road”,and play the role of China's central hub.The role of promoting the development of horticultural products trade along the “Belt and Road” countries and other countermeasures.