The Analysis Of Trade Potential Between China And Border Main Countries Under The Background Of One Belt And One Road

Since the reform and opening up,China attaches great attention to the exchange of the world economy,and promotes its own trade level through international cooperation.Under the policy of reform and opening to the outside world,China's economy developed rapidly China became the second largest economy in the world.However,in the future economic development,it is necessary to enhance our good position and create new development capability.The Belt and Road is the development of the new policy in the new Chinese,will be in the area along the way countries trade new,to jointly promote the prosperity and development of economy,the formation of industrial clusters.Therefore,Belt and Road Initiative to promote participation in national trade capacity is of great help,it is also an important theory in China's new development.This paper,firstly analyzes the related knowledge of several rounds,including The Belt and Road development infrastructure investment cooperation,financial cooperation effect.Based on the theory of channel economy,this paper expounds the specific role of infrastructure in the development of national economy,so as to guide railway infrastructure investment in national development and construction.The principle analysis of investment cooperation to promote national trade through the marginal industry theory,and using the gravity equation to explain our country's foreign investment policy;through Mundell's theory of optimum currency areas the national bilateral trade relations in The Belt and Road development for that the influence of RMB internationalization.At the same time,in the gravitational equation,there is a variable of RMB cross-border settlement agreement in the countries along the line.Through empirical analysis,this paper takes Chinese and The Belt and Road along thirty-two major countries in the 2010-2017 years of trade data as the analysis object,the method of multivariate linear regression analysis of GDP,GDP,China countries along the national geographic distance,along the country's population,railway length,tariff level,with 8 factors of RMB cross-border agreements and China absorption along the country foreign direct investment impact on the Chinese and The Belt and Road along major countries in bilateral trade.Through research,it has been proved that the above factors do not have significant relationship with bilateral trade relations,including the total population and tariff level of the countries along the line.That is to say,there is no obvious rule for the research subjects.In the "The Belt and Road along major countries in bilateral trade,the biggest impact is China economy,countries along the total economic effect of the geographical distance between the two countries,the situation of railway construction,bilateral investment cooperation,financial cooperation has a significant impact on bilateral trade.Finally,through the calculation,the 2014 " The Belt and Road along the major countries in the Chinese trade potential,according to this research describes the development of corresponding measures.