Analysis Of Domestic Tourism Development Differences And Influencing Factors Based On Spatial Econometric Model

As one of the three major tourism markets,domestic tourism has been proven to help drive the development of the overall tourism market and effectively promote regional economic growth.Although the importance of the domestic tourism market is increasingly recognized and the development trend is good,the research on domestic tourism does not match its importance.The domestic tourism research based on the spatial measurement model is still few,and the development differences and impact development of each province.The factors have not been well studied.This paper selects the data analysis of 31 provinces in China for 5 years.For the difference analysis,it is carried out from two aspects:single indicator and multiple indicators.A single indicator characterizes differences from three dimensions:absolute,relative,and spatial.The results of absolute difference analysis show that the absolute difference in the east is the largest and the difference between the east,the middle and the west is increasing with time.The results of the relative difference analysis show that the relative difference in the overall development of domestic tourism is shrinking year by year.The relative difference in the western region is the main difference between the three regions;The spatial disparity analysis results show that there is significant and positive spatial autocorrelation in domestic tourism revenues in each year,and the Moran index is declining year by year,indicating that the spatial agglomeration between provinces is gradually weakening,that is,the difference in domestic tourism development between neighboring provinces.Sex is increasing year by year.Based on the multi-indicator difference analysis of spectral clustering algorithm,select 8 indicators closely related to domestic tourism development:domestic tourism income.per capita GDP,traffic convenience,regional reception capacity,scenic attraction.number of travel agencies,air quality,total The annual average temperature and the added value of the tertiary industry are analyzed.The results show that domestic tourism is in a state of aggregation,and its development differences are consistent with economic development differences.In order to explore the main factors affecting the development of domestic tourism,this paper considers domestic tourism income as a response variable,and other indicators are explanatory variables.Firstly,the multivariate linear regression model was fitted to the data and estimated by OLS method.The analysis results show that the model is not significant;then the panel data fixed effect model is used to fit,and the results show that the model goodness is still not ideal;Secondly,the Moran'I test is performed on the OLS residual to obtain the spatial effect.After the test,the spatial lag model is selected for analysis.The analysis results show that the spatial lag model is a better choice,and the factors that promote the development of domestic tourism are:air quality,tourism reception capacity,transportation convenience,per capita GDP.the factors that produce inhibition are the value added of the tertiary industry and the number of travel agencies.The unrelated factor is the annual average temperature.