Spatial Econometric Analysis Of The Relationship Between Transportation Carbon Emissions And Industry Economy

Grasping the relationship between transportation carbon emission and industry economy is of great significance for promoting low-carbon transportation and formulating timely and appropriate transportation emission reduction measures.At the same time,as China's crossregional trade continues to deepen,transportation carbon emissions likely to be interdependent in space.Therefore,on the basis of considering this spatial relationship,it is important to analyze the long-term relationship between transportation carbon emissions and industrial economic development,and explore its influencing factors in order to promote the development of low-carbon transportation.Therefore,this paper analyzes the development status of the carbon emission and the industry economy in the transportation industry as a whole and uses the statistical test to verify the difference between the regions.At the same,the geo-statistical analysis is used to explore the spatial characteristics of transportation carbon emissions,while this paper also explores the relationship between transportation carbon emissions and industry economy by the correlation analysis.On this basis,by building an extended EKC spatial measurement verification model,it verifies the long-term relationship between transport carbon emissions and the industry economy for national,eastern,central and western regions.And the spatial measurement model was used to analyze the influencing factors of transportation carbon emissions.The research results indicate:(1)The carbon emissions of transportation and the per capita industrial added value both show a rapid growth trend from 1997 to 2016,both of which showed a decreasing gradient of the eastern,central and western regions.And statistical tests show that there are differences among the three regions in the nation,eastern,central and western,but there is a high positive correlation between transportation carbon emissions and economic development in various regions.(2)Chinese transportation carbon emissions have obvious spatial dependence characteristics.The number of transportation carbon emissions is generally high in the eastern region,showing the characteristics of high accumulation;the transportation carbon emission of western region is concentrated in low,showing low and low concentration characteristics.At the same time,there are some core regions in the high-carbon emission regions,such as Shanghai,Zhejiang and Jiangsu,etc,while the regions are key areas in the low-carbon emission region,such as Gansu and Sichuan.(3)The geostatistical analysis method results show that: The long-term relationship between China's transportation carbon emissions and the industry economy does not conform to the traditional EKC curve,but presents different long-term changes in the national,eastern,central and western regions,continuing to deteriorate in a foreseeable period.This conclusion verifies the hypothesis that there is a difference long-term relationship between the carbon emissions of transportation and the industry economy among the eastern,central and western regions.(4)In the analysis of influencing factors,the level of economic development,energysaving technology and urbanization rate have passed the test at the level of 1% significance,and them have promoted,inhibited and inhibited the increase of transportation carbon emissions;Both the transportation structure and the transportation efficiency can have a positive effect on the reduction of transportation carbon emissions,but the degree of impact is small.