Research On The Fluctuation And Transmission Mechanism Of Egg Price In China

China is the largest egg production and consumption country in the world,and egg production accounts for more than one-third of the world's total egg production.Eggs are an important source of protein in people's daily life and an important product in the "vegetable basket".They have played an important role in improving the dietary structure of residents.Under the market economy system,the reasonable fluctuation of egg prices promotes the healthy development of the egg industry,guarantees the economic benefits of egg producers and operators,and meets the daily needs of residents.However,with the development of the egg industry and market,egg prices and other The abnormal fluctuation of agricultural product prices in different periods has always troubled people.This fluctuation has brought about dramatic fluctuations in production and the market,seriously harmed the interests of egg producers and consumers,and became a concern of the government and society.How to prevent abnormal fluctuations in egg prices and keep them in a reasonable movement has also become a topic of great concern and urgent need of the government.In this context,this article takes the price of eggs as the research object,and aims to explore the regularity of its fluctuations,so as to provide a reference for the government to introduce corresponding control measures and adjust relevant decisions for production operators and consumers.The topic of this article has theoretical and practical significance.The core of the research in this paper is the fluctuation rule of egg prices in China.The empirical analysis and other methods are used to systematically analyze the fluctuation characteristics and ranges of egg prices,influencing factors,and price transmission mechanisms.Based on this,suggestions are provided for stabilizing egg prices.The main research contents include: The first part introduces the background and significance of the topic selection,the research purpose,content and research methods,the innovations and shortcomings of this article,and summarizes the relevant research literature;the second part describes the basic theory of egg price fluctuations To lay the theoretical foundation for the subsequent research on egg price fluctuations and transmission mechanism;The third part analyzes the annual and monthly price fluctuation characteristics of eggs in China,summarizes the fluctuation intervals,explores the cyclical and seasonal characteristics of egg prices,and the elasticity of egg supply and demand prices And the types of cobweb changes;the fourth part analyzes the factors that affect the price fluctuations of eggs from the perspective of supply and demand,calculates the degree of influence of different factors and derives the key influencing factors;the fifth part analyzes the cost of eggs from the retail price,and different regions Egg price relationship is discussed at two levels,the transmission mechanism of egg price is discussed,and the relationship between egg price fluctuations in different links and different regions is summarized.Finally,the conclusions of this paper are summarized,and the theory and practice are combined to promote the promotion of egg prices in China.Suggestions for reasonable exercise.The possible innovations of this article are: In the process of exploring the fluctuation pattern of egg prices,the quantitative intervals of annual and monthly price fluctuations of eggs were first proposed,which provide a reference for further analysis and research on reasonable intervals and fluctuation trends of egg price fluctuations;Second,this paper uses the factor analysis method for the first time to obtain the key factors that affect the price fluctuations of eggs.The panel vector autoregressive model is used to analyze the transmission relationship between egg production costs and retail prices.(Autonomous regions,municipalities)The synchronization was measured,and the vector autoregressive model was used to conduct an in-depth analysis of the egg price transmission relationship between the main producing area and the main producing area,and between the main producing area and the main selling area.Understanding of the law of price fluctuations.The research in this article is helpful to further enrich the research results of egg prices in our country,provide the government with a reference to raise the egg market price monitoring and early warning level,and introduce related regulatory measures,and provide a reference for egg producers and consumers to make reasonable decisions,and then help promote The reasonable movement of egg prices will give better play to the positive effects of prices on egg production,distribution and consumption.