Research On Profit Distribution Of University Contract Water Saving Reform Project Based On Game Theory

As a new water-saving mechanism based on marketization,contract water-saving management can not only improve the efficiency of water use,but also reduce the risk of water-saving transformation for water users.It is a new model for implementing national water-saving actions.At present,there are 2,956 general colleges and universities in my country,with 38.33 million students.The water-saving potential and benefits of implementing contractual water-saving transformation projects in colleges and universities are huge.At present,domestic contract water-saving transformation projects of colleges and universities are still in the beginning and exploration stages,and it is very important to establish a complete project implementation guarantee and income distribution mechanism.Revenue distribution is the focus of all stakeholders in the project.The existing research and implementation lack of quantitative calculation and evaluation and rationalized risk sharing,which makes the project difficult to land.Therefore,researching and establishing a scientific and reasonable project revenue distribution model has important research value and practical significance for promoting the implementation of contract water-saving transformation projects in universities.Based on the literature review,field investigation and expert interviews,this paper takes game theory research as the research object to construct a preliminary model for the distribution of revenue in contracted water-saving benefit-sharing contract projects for colleges and universities through the risk-sharing theory.Revise the model and carry out empirical analysis of the project.The main research results are as follows:(1)Based on game theory,a preliminary model of revenue distribution for contractwater-saving renovation projects in colleges and universities is proposed.On the basis of clarifying the income distribution method and calculation of the water-saving benefit-sharing contract water-saving transformation project of colleges and universities,from the perspective of stakeholder theory,according to the three dimensions of profitability,importance,and risk,the Delphi method is used to Among the 16 project stakeholders,water-saving service companies,universities,and financing institutions were identified as the core stakeholders of the project.Based on the game theory’s Shapley value method,a preliminary distribution of the core stakeholders’ benefits for contract water-saving renovation projects in universities was established model.(2)Based on the risk sharing,a profit distribution modification model for contract water-saving renovation projects in universities was constructed.Taking the core stakeholders’ investment and contribution of project resources as project risk source factors,18 project risk indicators were identified,and a risk assessment indicator system for university contract water-saving renovation projects was constructed;On the basis of determining the risk factors assumed by water-saving service enterprises,universities and financing institutions,the C-OWA operator was used to determine the index weights of the risk factors,and the risk adjustment coefficients of each core stakeholder of the project were determined by the grey cluster analysis method.Complete the revision of the income distribution model.(3)Take the domestic S university contract water-saving transformation project as an example for empirical analysis.Based on the income distribution model of the university contract water-saving renovation project constructed in this paper,the project income value calculated by the parties is basically consistent with the actual contractual distribution amount,and the error is maintained within 7%,which is in line with the actual project and has certain Scientificity and fairness;combined with the application of income distribution model,put forward the guarantee mechanism for the implementation of contract water-saving transformation projects in colleges and universities.