Research On The Sensitivity Of Tourism Economy And Its Time-spatial Evolution In Mainland China

With the critical transformation of macro economy,the development of high-end service industry such as leisure tourism has become an important way to expand the domestic demand and to promote the economic structural change and endogenous growth.The tourism economy is now faced with growing challenge despite the bright prospect of the tourism market.Tourism economy is highly sensitive which affects the sustainable development of tourism.The high sensitivity of tourism economy is a critical problem in tourism industry,however,it is still under-researched.This paper proposed a framework to analyze the sensitivity of tourism industry and contributes to the spatial management of the tourism economy.In the perspective of ‘inner sensitivity’ and ‘outer sensitivity’,this work constituted the evaluation index system and analyzed the evaluation results using panel entropy,gravity track method and ArcGIS visualization technology etc.Results showed that:(1)inner sensitivity is the main source of tourism sensitivity;(2)the variation in timeline is significant especially in crisis affairs year;(3)tourism sensitivity variation is spatially remarkable with different patterns of inner sensitivity and outer sensitivity,which means inner sensitivity is spatially relevant significantly only in crisis years but outer sensitivity all the years.Based on the research findings,this paper proposed 3 political suggestions,namely(1)treat the tourism sensitivity properly and it also provides the basis for macro-economic regulation;(2)strengthening the regional collaboration to promote the tourism development in a co-operative way;(3)building the crisis management mechanism in order to promote the development of tourism economy sustainably.The main innovation of this paper lies in:(1)evaluating the tourism sensitivity in a numerical and visualization way;(2)analyzing the result from both time and spatial perspective;(3)proposing the spatial regulation approach of the tourism sensitivity.