Study On The Warning Construction System Of The Grain Production Capability In Jilin Province

As the supply of commodity grain base and one of the 13 major grain-producing areas,the agricultural mechanization of Jilin province gets a continuously improvement.The rapid development of modern,food production is also growing.However,the food production it is not the more the better under the guidance of national grain policy and the action between supply and demand balance.Too little food production capacity may cause a panic by the food and clothing problem;On the contrary,also may hurt people by the price reduced.Therefore,the establishment of a reasonable capacity of grain early warning system and its operation mechanism will play an important role to ensure the balance of food supply and demand.At the same time,it provides a reliable basis to our country to formulate the grain macro-control and policy arrangement.In this thesis,it includes the following 7 sections: The first part is the introduction which mainly states the research status review of the food production capacity early-warning system and the research basis,content,method,technical route and innovation points of my thesis.The concept definition and theoretical basis will illuminate in the second part.Mainly to define the related concepts of the grain production capacity and the grain early warning system.Also,it will explain and illustrate the cobweb theorem,gradient theory,the balance of supply and demand theory and other related theory which set for the full text research object and scope.The third part analyzes the present situation in the construction of early warning system of Jilin province grain production capacity.Mainly to analyze the grain production capacity market early warning system,production capacity of grain logistics early warning system and the associated industries warning system.The fourth part puts forward the present problems of the early warning system of Jilin province grain production capacity which will pave below.In the fifth part,it will provides the empirical research by formulating one reasonable and effective grain capacity early warning system and mechanism.The main method is to build up the four systems(grain production capacity market early warning system,grain production capacity early warning system,production capacity of grain logistics early warning system and the associated industries warning system)and the reasonable operation mechanism.The sixth part puts forward the relevant countermeasures and suggestions to ensure the efficient and orderly operation of food production capacity early-warning system.Then the seventh is the conclusion to summarize the article.Through this study,it mainly draws the following conclusion: Firstly,market factor is the basis of the food production capacity early-warning system;Policy and system is the weather vane of setting up the food production capacity early-warning system;Logistics is the important guarantee of the food production capacity early-warning system;Correlative industry is the key factor of the food production capacity early-warning system.Secondly,there exist many problems of the food production capacity early-warning system of Jilin province.For instance,early warning information of the food market develops a bit of a lag;The transmission efficiency of the early warning energy of the local policy is low;Poor efficient grain storage restrains the food production capacity early-warning system;The low correlation of the food hinders the food production capacity early-warning system;There are many factors resulting in early warning function of seed research and development playing insufficiently.For example,research and development of seed market is chaotic;The quality of the seed is poor;Seed research and development institutions and seed units disconnect with each other;The information linking of the seed research and development institutions and seed units is missing,etc.Thirdly,to give full play to the early warning function of the four factors,there are many measures.For instance,we should vigorously develop the commodity futures and improve grain production capacity warning function.Next we should perfect order pattern of grain production and speed up the cooperative development of grain production.And also,the government should sound legal system and expand the warning effect.Meanwhile,we should improve the transportation infrastructure.Finally,we should promote the development of food processing,and improve the function of the research and development of science and technology of the food.