Risk Evaluation Of Software Project Development Based On FISM-ANP-grey Clustering

Information technology has become a powerful driving force to promote national economy development,and also,it is one of the most effective way to promote the improvement of the production efficiency of the whole society.The demand for the application software industry is becoming more and more powerful in various fields of the national economy,and efficient software project management can promote software industry to develop rapidly.However,due to the special nature of software products,the risks of software projects have been greatly increased,which has caused the software project development to be hindered by various uncertainties,low project management performance,worried success rate,and the economic losses caused by this are huge,which seriously hampers the development of the software industry.Lack of effective risk management method is one of the important reasons for the failure of software projects.Therefore,it is of great significance to conduct in-depth research on software project risk management.This paper takes the software project risk assessment as the starting point,and combines the relevant research results to do the following researches:(1)73 risk factors that may occur in the development of software projects were collated from domestic and foreign documents.Based on the actual situation,73 risk factors were screened,merged,and eliminated.Finally,the common risk factors in development process of H company software projects were identified.Risks are divided into 8 categories and a total of 27 risk factors.(2)We analyze the advantages and disadvantages of the methods of FISM,ANP and Grey clustering in the past research and application.Then we illustrate the advantages of the application of the three methods combining,it can make up for the shortages of these three methods when they are used alone.Finally,we constructe a risk assessment method of software project development with FISM-ANP-Grey clustering integrated.And the modeling process is described in detail.(3)The above integration method is applied to the risk assessment of B county Egovernment system project development phase to conduct modeling analysis in H company,draw the hierarchical structure relationship of system risk factors in the development phase of B project and the result visually shows the underlying root cause of risk for B project.It also shows strongest driving.and dependence factors that drive project risks,So this is a straightforward method of visualization for risk analysis of project.(4)Through the FISM-ANP-grey clustering assessment method,this paper evaluated the overall risk level of the B project and ranked the risks in various categories and identified the key risks of the project.Comparing the calculation results with the actual satuation.The result shows that the results of FISM-ANP-grey clustering integrated are in line with the objective situation,thus verifying the FISM-ANP-grey clustering integrated is effective.So it shows that the ISM-ANP-Grey clustering integrated method is an effective method to solve the risk assessment problems in software development.