| Riskcontrol, which could mitigate the business operating risks, is an important section of project management. In terms of beforehand prevention, methods suit for different projects could vary case by case in order to conclude, study and summarize the rules. If the process of editing and publishing is seen as a complete project management process,avoiding the threats of piracy will be the risk control section of the whole process. And the piracy of training materials is a typical area of the piracy of books and printing. This paper will take the users of<Psychological Consultant>,which is the text book of the test of National Psychological Consultant Certificate and is published by Nationalities Publishing House,as the research object. Together with the review of history of vocational skills training in china and the studies of piracy, the results of the questionnaire will be fit in the Decision Tree and Random Forest models to do risk assessment of publishing using probabilistic analysis to study the status of risk management of process of publishing in today’s world and to define the corresponding countermeasures. And the recommendations of risk control from the perspectives of public awareness, product, service and personalization will be given for the project management of editing and publishing in the reality. |