Analysis On The Stability And Influencing Factors Of Provincial Population Migration In Xinjiang

In the wake of the reform and opening and the development of market economy, the free flow of population phenomenon become far more common.Especially as the country’s western development strategy implementation and the household registration policy adjustment, the rapid progress of the Xinjiang region propels a large number of central and eastern surplus labor forces flourishing into the Xinjiang region to create new capital.Based on the data of the fifth and sixth demographic census respectively in the year of 2000 and 2010 as the main reference data, this thesis makes a statistical description of the space features and population characteristic of current inter-provincial population migration in Xinjiang from the aspects of inter-provincial population’emigratory provinces and cities, gender, age, standard of culture, residence time, and living conditions in Xinjiang. At the same time, the factors affecting the stability of inter-provincial immigratory population in Xinjiang are also analyzed in detail. Through the demarcation of the stability of the population in inter-provincial immigration, then compare it with the national average level of trans-provincial floating population’ stability. According to the analysis on the stability of Xinjiang provincial immigration population, this thesis finds out the main factors influencing the stability of inter-provincial immigratory population in Xinjiang province so as to provide constructive suggestions and countermeasures for inter-provincial immigratory population in Xinjiang province, and to provide basis and reference for exploration and establishment of best model and path in the process of population migration in Xinjiang province.As the immigratory population in Xinjiang province are miscellaneous, it is difficult to do research that covers the whole province. Therefore, this thesis based on the census yearbook data and the related theory of population migration, selects the provincial capital Urumqi as the representing city. We conduct this research by questionnaire survey research method in several areas featuring the ingoing populated. According to the results of the survey data, this thesis analyzes the factors affecting the stability of the provincial immigration population in Urumqi then makes the data regression respectively from the macroscopic factors and the personal factors of the ingoing resorting to the Logistic model analysis. Studies have found that the state of employment in the immigratory and emigratory places, income, residential time in Xinjiang have significant influence on the stability of the ingoing. Finally, this thesis will put forward the practical and effective policy suggestions corresponding to the stability of the ingoing according to the results of empirical analysis.