The Influence Of Climate Change On China’s Tourism And Relevant Stategic Research

Tourism is one of the industries with the fastest growth. As the climate change being the background of humanity’s activity, the impacts of the climate change on tourism has become more obvious. In order to study the general characteristics of climate changing trends in Nanjing, the methods of Mann-Kendall trend test and trend analysis are used by using the average temperature, precipitation data from1952to2012. This paper takes the tourism resources in the city of Nanjing as the research sample, adopting system analysis method, concentrating on the impacts of climate change on tourism resources, building the relevant index system, and adopting analytic hierarchy process to calculate the weight of each index. Besides, it also applies fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to evaluate each index, having the quantitative analysis of the impacts of climate change on tourism resources in the city of Nanjing. The results showed that, the impact of climate change ontourism resources is strong. Natural tourism resource is the one that is affected most, followed by humanism tourism resource. While based on the assessment, this paper also makes the classification according to level of the influence on tourism resource. Therefore, it can effectively help the relevant managers to make the risk classification, having a more vivid understanding of the influence of climate change on Nanjing’s tourism resource.Then according to basic meteorology data of Nanjing in recent30years, it has assigned value to temperature-humidity index, wind chill index and clothing index in different grade. With the application of grey correlation model, this paper has analyzed the relevance between climate comfort index and monthly incoming passenger amount index from2006to2012. It has also calculated the change of climate comfort degree of Nanjing in the past30years, as well as the influence of that change on passenger flow with the tourism climate model, which leads to the influence of climate change on tourism activities in Nanjing. Based on the study of climate change in the tourism resources and tourism activities in Nanjing, people can have a clearer understanding of the impacts of climate change on tourism, further coordinate the interests of different parties, achieve pertinent promotion and realize the long-lasting utilization of tourism resource and the sustainable development of tourism.