Based On The Game Theory Of Inter-city Passenger Transport Corridor Share Rate Prediction Research

With the increasingly close intercity links, Jiangxi put forward the comprehensivetransportation system construction of NanChang-JiuJiang, reasonable optimization of thestructure of transport network and transportation service, implementing the channel "seamlessdocking" transportation and passenger transfer "zero distance". At present, the reform of thenational ministry of transport organization and function, aimed at further overall coordinateddevelopment of various modes of transportation, we will speed up the establishment of acomprehensive transportation system. This article from the perspective of factors affectingpassenger travel, give full consideration to the inter-city channel competition cooperationbetween each transportation mode, study the mode of transportation passenger equilibriumand the share rate of optimal price, can under the background of the development andprosperity of the city circle, for speed up the construction of regional comprehensivetransportation system to provide theoretical reference. At the same time, in order toNanChang-JiuJiang transport corridor as an example for the empirical analysis, not only canprovide research reference for prosperous NanChang-JiuJiang development planning, but alsofor railway and highway departments arrange capacity, promote the development of bothtraffic is of great significance.This paper first introduces the related research status at home and abroad, and thenstudies the share rate of the relevant theories and models. In determining the factorsinfluencing the passenger travel choice, on the basis of establishing index system of factors,through the investigation and analysis of the channel passenger, calculate the index weight ofinfluence factors of different types of passenger, choose the fare as adjust variable, set upchannel transportation structure game model, to solve the optimal passenger fares and sharerate. Finally to NanChang-JiuJiang passenger corridor as an example for the empiricalanalysis, to verify this model, in order to maintain the inter-city passenger transport channelsin market distribution balanced, stable, and provide theoretical reference to achieve theoptimal allocation of transport resources.