Analysis Of Development Trend Of Demand And Supply In World Dry Bulk Shipping Market

Dry bulk cargo transport market is an important part of the world shipping market. In recent years, along with the vigorous development of container transportation, marine cargo containerization ratios in many countries become higher and higher, however, given that many of the bulk cargo are important national economic goods, bulk cargo transport especially mass goods transport is still one of the main transportation modes in a country or region that cannot fundamentally be replaced by other transportation modes. The dry bulk cargo transport market is basically in line with a perfectly competitive market structure, so demand and supply are decisive factors. This paper firstly introduces the structure of world dry bulk transport market, from the aspects of the supply of goods, shipping routes, type structure and age structure of the dry bulk cargo fleet and related market situations, etc. Then a combined forecast model is constructed through analyzing the history data of demand and supply of the dry bulk cargo transport market. The demand and supply of the next decade in world dry bulk cargo transport market is forecasted by CFM.The quantitative relationship between demand and supply is analyzed and the change in quantitative relationship between the two in short term is forecasted by improved supply-demand balance method (ISDBM). Finally, a short term recommendation on management strategy and a long term proposal on development are given to the China’s shipping enterprises according to the development trend of demand and supply of the world dry bulk transport market.