The Supply-Demand Balance Analysis Of International Dry Bulk Shipping

The International dry bulk shipping, accounts for almost a third of shipping market, which is nearly a perfect competition market to be more frequent alteration and more fierce competition than the liner and tanker market. Since September of 2008, most economies enter a recession, then in September a financial crisis of the world economy and trade, dry bulk shipping market also slumped. Even dry bulk shipping market had short increases in 2009 and 2010 under the economic stimulus policies published by countries, but International dry bulk shipping market is difficult to go out of whack in a period of future due to amounts of capacity into the market and demand growth lacked.This paper based on the above mentioned background and collecting amounts of data, research on supply-demand balance of International dry bulk shipping market. First of all, from the situation this paper discusses and introduces the relevant factors and main operation, as well as summarizes characteristics and the law of development. Then, this paper establishes a simple model to particularly analysis demand, supply and freight index respectively of International dry bulk shipping market. Next, this paper through quantitative and qualitative, and the combination of a variety of prediction model of the method forecast the trend of development. In this part, given priority to supply-demand balance analysis, according to related literature in the mature prediction method, respectively forecast the demand, supply and freight index of International dry bulk shipping market,. Finally, based on above, this paper summarizes the strategy and puts forward the attention of shipping enterprise strategy in the implementation.This paper demonstrates comprehensive discussion and analysis of International dry bulk shipping market supply and demand, establishes a simple model and introduces a parameter of supply-demand in scientifically objective. The same also provides a theoretical basis and reference for China shipping enterprise defecation market development trend.