Research On The Price Fluctuation Of Green Vegetables Of Wholesale Markets In Shanghai And Working Out The Price Indices

It is well known that vegetables are necessary and basic agriculturalproducts in people's lives. Ordinary people can't live without them. Therefore,the price of vegetables is related to many people's lives. Vegetable productionis a disadvantaged industry because it is influenced by natural and marketrisk, climate and local level of production. It is also affected by the incomeand preference of consumers. Besides, transportation, messages andenvironment can also influence it. These facts make vegetable price instableconstantly. So, it is important for us to study vegetable market situation andto analyze vegetable price. It can guide vegetable production and meet theneed of people for vegetables.The citizens of Shanghai have been used to eating green vegetables for along time. The paper will get the price data of vegetable wholesale markets from the databank of agricultural web of Shanghai and the situation ofvegetables growth and production in Shanghai from Shanghai StatisticalYearbook. It attempts to set up some models and forecasts the price forcertain typical green vegetables and then works out the price indices(2004-2010) for these green vegetables on the basis of the math methods ofTime Series Analysis. It aims to provide the basic material of greenvegetables price fluctuation in Shanghai for related departments andscientific basis for the producers to correctly arrange green vegetables growthand production. It also tries its best to provide some instructive measures forrelated department.