Beijing Urban Residents In Residential Consumer Trends Research

When it came the 21st century, China thoroughly canceled the welfare housing policy and carried out the housing policy reform overall the country. Therefore, the real estate market has developed rapidly in our country. At the same time, the consumption structures of urban residents have been changed greatly and the housing consumption has become their important expenditure. And the housing consumption encourages the economic increasing powerfully. It has been the focus of society consumption. However, the fast developing of housing industry has caused a series of social problems, such as housing price rising quickly, housing structure being unreasonable, the supplying and needing being not equilibrium etc. Especially in the large cities, such as Shanghai and Beijing, housing price has apparently gone beyond the purchasing ability of major urban residents. It restrains the housing consumption and causes the attention of all circles of the society.This thesis analyzes the present condition of the housing consumptions of the urban residents in Beijing and finds out the problems existing in the housing market of Beijing by adopting qualitative analysis. And the paper forecasts the average quantities of the housing consumption for the urban residents in Beijing from 2006 to 2010 using ELES (Extended Linear Expenditure System) and ARMA (Auto-regressive Moving Average) models. At last, the paper puts forward a series of countermeasures (such as distributing the land resource reasonably, ensuring the supplying of affordable housing and low-cost housing, developing the housing which can save resources, establishing the ladder consumption concept etc.) to help to solve the existent problems in the housing market from the perspectives of government, real estate developers and consumers.