| Under circumstance on the economic internalization and the globalization, the category and manifestation of the agriculture risk are complicated increasingly. At present our country's agriculture faces sires of risks, such as the natural risk, the market risk, the institutional risk, the technique risk and the property risk etc. The high risk of the agriculture becomes serious restraint our country's agriculture development. Though current management on the agriculture risk makes progress in a certain way, perfect and systematical agriculture risk management system is still immaterial. The method of agriculture risk management is so monotonous that can't construct effective combination of risk management methods; there is a kind of antinomy between development on agriculture risk management and predicament of the agriculture insurance; collection and processing of the agriculture risk information mechanism is not sound, which don't carry on thoroughly scooping out and systematically classifying toward various different risks of the agricultural chain so that limit development of agriculture risk management system; lack of independent and sound agriculture risk management organizations so that cause low efficiency of agriculture risk management; lack of the creative mechanism and related laws of agriculture risk management method.This paper describes systematical and soundly the predicament which our country's high agricultural risk and the low efficiency of risk management put forward necessity of agricultural chain risk management based on analyzing cause of the predicament by analyzing empirically objective situations and characteristics of agriculture risks and agriculture risk management. Subjects on research toward situation of agriculture risk are respective macroscopic agriculture, microscopic corpus and general risk categories which to study characteristic of the high agriculture risk from many different layers. Subjects on research of agriculture risk management are main methods used by our country current which to analyze its objective efficiency. Interaction of difference agriculture risk which was obstacle our country's agriculture risk management faced is precondition of which high agriculture risk and low efficiency of risk management. These paper proposals by analyzing: the methods of our country's agriculture risk management are isolated basically, even propel against management of agriculture risk to a certain extend. The predicament which the connection between different agriculture risks and the isolation between different methods of risk management is basic reasons that there is a kind of predication of our country's agriculture risk management. To analyze"Predicament"will lead us to study further the functional mechanism of agriculture risk so that propel to establish new model of risk management which studies based on agricultural chain.This paper tries to research a kind of method that open"black box"of the agriculture risk functional mechanism. The function between different agriculture risks of our country at present is carried on similarly in"black box", related studies by the field of academy and the sections about decision is still insufficient, so that methods of risk management adapted by them turn out inefficient. The risk decomposition in the light of the agricultural chain can make clear functions and influences of different style risks in every points of chain. Before decomposition, a kind of risk may come about serious influence to the whole agricultural chain, but we can't nearly make clear functional process of the risk under the situation of"black box". Thus methods of risk management correspondence so called adapted simplify are invalid. After carrying on decomposition in the light of industrial chain, we can passing to take the industry chain as to carry the body decomposition, we can make clear the functions and the influences of the risk in the every periods of before-produce, in-produce and after-produce so that research corresponding methods of risk management and come to aim of decreasing agriculture risk by combining methods of risk management effective. Opening"black box"of functional mechanism of agriculture risk in the light of the agricultural chain takes an important significance to our country's agriculture risk management, which is the precondition of resolving predication of agriculture risk management, is efficient way of opening"black box"of mechanism of agriculture risk, is also effective path of propelling relation of different risk management methods to strengthen.This paper tries to establish a kind of procedure of agriculture risk management based on the decomposition of agriculture risks in light of agricultural chain for resolving effectively the predication of high agriculture risk and low efficiency of risk management, strengthening efficiency of agriculture risk management and decreasing agriculture risk. The establishment of agricultural chain risk management procedure has an important significance, which must obey basic principles such as risk-revenue selection principle, stability-performance principle and efficiency maximization of risk management. Agricultural chain risk management is a kind of systematical and explicit management procedure based on agriculture risk management system, which includes drawing up agricultural chain risk management planning, recognizing risks of agricultural chain, measuring risks of agricultural chain, selecting methods of agricultural chain risk management, deciding and implementing agricultural chain risk management, and supervising and evaluating agricultural chain risk management.This paper studies further agricultural chain risk management by analyzing a kind of case example—"Contract Agriculture + Future Market"about model of agriculture risk management. A basic aim of agricultural chain risk management is to establish a kind of scientific, efficient and explicit procedure of risk management based on analyzing agriculture risk in the light of agricultural chain with theories about modern risk management. Its effective implement requires to a series of guarantees in terms of notions of risk management, risk management information system, innovation institution, organization structure, laws and so on. |