Research On Crisis Recognition And Conversion Of Waste NIMBY Based On Complex System Perspective

With the acceleration of urbanization in China,people’s demand for waste treatment facilities has increased.Waste incineration power generation project has become the "rigid deed" for China’s urban development.How to effectively transform the crisis caused by waste NIMBY project has become the governance challenge of governments at all levels.Based on the comprehensive application of multi-disciplinary theories and methods,this dissertation systematically studies the scenario evolution,identification and conversion of the waste NIMBY crisis,and promotes the conversion of the root causes of the waste NIMBY crisis with constructive thinking and methods,so as to realize the governance without "danger" and prevent the "danger" from fading away.The main contents of this dissertation are as follows:(1)Analyzing the evolution characteristics of the garbage NIMBY crisis scenario based on the emergence of complex system.First,coding analysis is implemented through grounded theory.Then,this dissertation clarifies the evolution motivation of waste NIMBY crisis scenarios,and reveals the evolution law and path of waste NIMBY crisis,then the scenario evolution model of waste NIMBY crisis is constructed by using dynamic Bayesian network.(2)Analyzing the framework of waste NIMBY crisis based on immune complex system,and transforming the problem of crisis recognition into the recognition of "non-self" antigen in scenario evolution network.Ulteriorly,the improved NSGA-II algorithm is applied to solve multi-objective optimization problem of waste NIMBY crisis recognition.(3)The fuzzy set qualitative comparison method based on the integrity of complex system is applied.The mean anchor is used to assign values to the condition variables and result variable.The data of truth table is carried out by fsqca3.0software.According to the analysis results of condition configuration,the direction of conversion path of Waste NIMBY crisis is obtained.(4)Based on the complex system simulation,the waste NIMBY crisis conversion degree model is constructed.According to the coding results of conflict conversion theory and grounded theory,the index system of waste NIMBY crisis conversion is established.Then,based on the comprehensive weighting of G1-entropy weight method,the weight of the bottom index is determined.Next,on account of the improved vector space model,the development degree of waste NIMBY crisis conversion is proposed,and the coordination degree is screened by using complex system simulation.On this basis,the measurement formula of crisis conversion degree is determined.Finally,a case study is conducted to verify the stability and interpretability of the model.The main innovations of this dissertation are as follows:(1)Constructing the scenario evolution model of waste NIMBY crisis based on Dynamic Bayesian network,which offers an analytical basis for systematically grasping the development trend of waste NIMBY crisis.(2)The waste NIMBY crisis recognition model based on the improved NSGA-II was constructed to provide decision-making basis for effective conversion of MSW NIMBY crisis.(3)The analysis and evaluation models of waste NIMBY crisis conversion path are constructed,which points out new ideas for evaluating effectiveness of waste NIMBY crisis conversion...